Thursday, October 25, 2012

10/25/12 Thursday Watchlist

OTT (I'm long 2.03) - I bought this into the close because 2.0 is a probable bottom as it showing pos RSI divergence as it tests 2.0. I will sell if we get no morning spike.

VRNG - is bottoming but struggling to find support at key supp 3.53. watch 3.53 for entry but it could still drop. key supp at 3.15, natural supp at 3.25. key res 3.84 and 4.15.

HOV - this stock has been breaking out with volume all year. I am watching for technical breakouts to buy or breakdowns to short. I am watching trendline res at 4.5 as it is gapping it in premarket. this is mostly likely to breakout today.


XIN - this is a mult-week breakout that I am watching for technical breakouts or breakdowns. I am watching highs at 3.42 and key res 3.48. also big time multiyr key res at 3.71 which I am also watching for a breakout. 

Tip:
Do not buy breakouts midday wait for morning spikes, dip buys or eod rallies.

Wednesday, October 24, 2012

10/24/12 Wednesday Watchlist



BVSN (I'm long 8.06) - I bought this on the dip in anticipation of a spike leading into todays 4pm earnings annoucement. I will sell by eod, not holding thru earnings as I don't know what to expect.

SVU - been shorting this the past 2 days. unless there is catalyst driven breakout volume, I will look to short any spike/run-up under 3.0

SRPT - look for RSI divergence as it approaches key supp levels 22.2, 22.0 and 21.5. could rebound nicely from there.

ISIS - is to recieve $1.1 million from $ALNY so this could push this bottom into a spike. 9.50 is confirmation. key supp 9.13 and key res 11.72. this could be a good swing.

AONE - I will short a top today if volume is low relative to previous days. hoping for a quick morning spike to short. has res near 0.17 but could spike to as high as 0.18 so i will scale in my short.

APPY - from FousAlerts. this stock has been very trendy with alot of trendlines built up. it has already proven yesterday it could spike thru a trendline res (near 2.95) so I will wait for 2.95 again and buy if it can hold above it on a small pullback. Has upside to 3.2/3.3 where it would need heavy breakout volume to hold above 3.2/3.3 so I will sell there.

CHTP - also from FousAlerts. Midrange in the trendline so I will look for a dip buy. be careful as it could always fail thru trendline support and panic (always sell when you see a top). key res 1.44 (which will test again) and key res 1.56. Not the best set-up so trade cautiously.

LPHI - is making strides. watching key res at 2.35 and for volume before entering.

CLWR - I will wait for key res 2.05 breakout




Monday, October 22, 2012

10/22/12 Monday Watchlist


Watchlist: BVSN, INVE, LPHI, SRPT, CLWR, PWEI and SANP
The market is looking like a down week this week so be conservative with these bounce plays, I would prefer to focus more on short set-ups.

Long Set-ups (Bounce Plays):

ROSG (I'm long 5.26, swing) - there hasn't been any news as I was expecting but they have attempted to keep this thing up. Unfortunately this thing will drop to 5 or lower if no news comes out today. I will sell into the open if there is no news. I will collect more at cheaper price if it drops.


CLWR (I'm long 1.83) - on this bounce play. could turn into a rebound and breakout as this stock may be undervalued.


BVSN - watching it pattern about key res 8.27 with key res 8.48 as confirmation.

INVE - watching it pattern about 1.06 with 1.10 as confrimation. key res at 1.17 and 1.39.

LPHI -watching it pattern about 2.25 with key res 2.35 as confrimation. If  fails, 1.88 is next probable bottom.

SRPT - no key supp until 18.6 but expecting it to bounce during gap-fill. watch for RSI divergence as it approaches natural supp levels 24, 23, 22 etc..

Short Set-ups:

SANP - pump by SMA that is squeezing shorts therefore could dump at any time, esp around 1.0. Look for a top until it drops.

PWEI - pump by PPS that is squeezing and could drop any day. Look for a top and shares to short.

Thursday, October 18, 2012

10/18/12 Thursday Watchlist

On watch for Thursday 10/18/12: ROSGPGNXGALE, and VSR.


ROSG
(long 5.26, swing)





ROSG spiked nicely as mm held this thing up as I anticipated. I'm expecting news in the few days. Expecting a gap and spike. I don't recommend buying this stock without news. Your change to buy was yesterday's fakeout breakdown at key res 5.28. I'm still holding from 5.26 for news and selling at $7+. Possible EMA20-daily revival thru res 5.75, but remember no volume no play.



PGNX
(long 3.03, swing)



PGNX had a 6% revival thru EMA20-daily yesterday. It is now on its 3rd and final leg, so in order for it to continue its run it has to morning spike today with volume to break through trendline res and res at 3.3. If it doesnt morning spike, I will sell quickly as it will likely reverse to test near key res 3.0 again, where I may rebuy the dip for swing. 


GALE
(long 2.04, day)



GALE had a purely technical breakout (no news) thru multi-month res at 2.0. I get in at 2.04 and wanted to sell near res at 2.29 but it doesn't seem to have enough juice to make it on the first shot as there is clearly negative RSI divergence, meaning it will likely reverse and dip. It could still run only if there is a morning spike with heavy volume. If no volume, I will sell at the open. If it dips, its still a buy but only after it patterns near 2, which is what I will be watching for a re-entry.


VSR
(long, day)


VSR setting up nice for a rally today. This contract it just got could get it running again today so be prepared to enter only if there is heavy volume during morning spike. Don't touch this midday.
3.75 is the key level to watch at the open.


Other Opportunities
OREX (swing) - did as I called it: it dipped to test supp 6.16 and spiked. It has upside to key res 7.4 so its always a good dip buy. Very nice short squeeze that I love to buy into, but I can't play everything. Should be a muti-day runner from here.

KCG (day) - closed above EMA20-daily (2.62) with a nice rally into the close. so today could be a good revival thru EMA20. Watch res at 2.67 and 2.77.

BVSN (rebound) - watch pattern bout key levels 8.27/8.48 over the next few days. Keep 8.48 on alert.


















Wednesday, October 17, 2012

10/17/2012 Wednesday Watchlist



Watchlist for Wednesday 10/17/12: PGNX, LPHI, KCG, OREX, PWEI

PGNX
(long 3.03, swing)


PGNX could consolidate or spike today. A good buy above/near key res 3.0. Look for a top to sell into.

LPHI
(bounce play)


LPHI has a nice set-up. could spike any day as shorts must cover eventually. res at 2.23 on watch. could spike  to 2.35+


KCG
(long, swing)


KCG is long due for a rebound. this looks like a clear bottom and a nice set-up for a probable run this week. watching 2.56 and 2.71 as confirmation.


OREX
(long, swing)


OREX -I usually only buy bottoms/bounces/rebounds but this set-up is nice. Looking for a dip buy towards 6.15 and then holding for a smooth ride to 7+. Look out cuz it could washout at any point so always look for tops as that is signal to sell.


PWEI
(dead pump bounce)


PWEI is a Preferred Penny Stocks pump that has dumped dropping 73% in one day (this is why I would love to start shorting pumps after I grow my account). I am now looking for bounces to scalp. I am looking for a pullback to buy after 0.21 test then selling near 0.25. These pumps don't have any support so sell quick as it could free-fall/drop off any res level.







Other Bound Plays
ROSG (still long 5.26) - could spike on any news any day. I will buy more cheaper if drops to 5
SSH - key res at 7.25 on alert
BVSN - mm should be holding this thing up until 10/24 earnings announcement which means it could spike. key res at 8.27 and 8.48 on alert.
CTIC - shorts must cover eventually. 1.61 on alert



Monday, October 15, 2012

10/16/12 Tuesday Watchlist

On watch for Tuesday 10/16/12: ROSG, SSH, PGNX, VSR, and SRPT.

ROSG 
(long, swing)


ROSG (I'm long 5.26) - spiked at 5.36 res as I anticipated. If there is no news tomorrow it may test key supp 5.28 again and possible slip under to test 5. I am hoping they hold it up at 5.28 for news, if not I will add at a cheaper price. The cheaper this stock gets the better because it will spike nicely on any news. I am still long 5.26. Res 5.36 still on watch.


BVSN
(long, bounce play)



BVSN is expecting earnings on 10/24. market makers usually like to hold up stocks leading to earnings announcements so I don't see this thing staying below key res at 8.27, so I am watching this level for an entry on any volume. It may drop as low as 8, which in case I will buy at 8 because this stock must bounce. This stock should be easy money if you are alert.

SSH 
(long, bounce play)


SSH - I am speculating a spike at 7.25 key res tomorrow. I will be watching it pattern there with 7.30 as confirmation. This thing moves fast so be prepared to enter and exit quickly.


PGNX 
(long, swing)


PGNX (I'm long 3.08) moved nicely today but I didn't get in until eod at 3.08 to be sure it would close above key res 3.0. I'm hoping for a gap-up and/or morning spike. If it doesn't gap or morning spike, I will sell quickly and look for a reentry after it patterns about 3. It could still pullback below 3 before testing it again. SN: my trendlines (green) are so damn precise!


VSR
(long, bounce play)


VSR spiked on 10/1 on news of that it has received a contract thru the US Army valued at up to $175mil, which is 5 times its market cap. It is always near its 52-wk high's so alot of momentum/technical traders will be watching it to so it could run nice. I am anticipating a rebound about 3.57 with key res 3.65 as confirmation. Like ROSG, BVSN and SSH, this is a low float that moves quickly with volume. Remember, no volume no play.



SRPT
(long, bounce play)


SRPT was at one point the most over-extended stock on the market back when I was shorting it in the 45s, now its mid 20s, where it is now bottoming. I coulda shoulda woulda had this on the previous watchlist and got in at 25.9 but I didn't. Now I am looking for a pullback to 26.5 at the open tomorrow. I will watch 26.5 for entry and play the bounce to key res 28.92.




Other Bounce Plays
LPHI - key res at 2.16 on alert until next potential bottom at 2.0
CTIC - seems over-extended but could spike with volume. res at 1.53 on alert
BVSN - key res 9.27 on alert

Other Swing Plays
OREX - res at 6.06 on alert
ARNA - res at 9.32 on alert
RIMM - earnings winner but there are doubts about its upcoming new blackberry 10, so it may or may not run-up. Keeping 8.0 on alert.

10/15/12 Monday Watchlist

CTIC (bounce play)


CTIC just got news and an analyst upgrade to buy rating. This could start a rebound. I will watch how it opens and let it pattern about 1.5 resistances before entering. Volume is everything. No volume no play.


LPHI (bounce play)


LPHI's natural price moments are dictated by the general market; I use SPY market index for comparison. SPY is gapping up today so this could be the day we say a spike. Res at 2.25 on watch and 2.35 for confirmation; however it may only spike to or just above 2.35 so be on alert to sell quick.

BVSN (bounce play)


BVSN's (like LPHI) natural price moments are dictated by market index SPY. SPY is gapping up today so this could be the day we say a spike. Key res 8.48 on watch. Could test 9.0/9.26 again.



PGNX (long-biased, swing)


PGNX is showing positive divergence with respect to SPY (blue candle sticks) and showing bullish signals. Watch it pattern about 2.81 with key res at 3.0 as confirmation. Has alot of upside for swing trade.

ROSG (long-biased, day/swing)


ROSG (I'm long 5.26) - moves with biotech index IBB when there is no news. Since the market could be up today, so could ROSG. Look for morning spikes and eod spike into the close. Beware of a possible gap and crap if it gaps to any natural or key res (5.5, 5.75 or 6) so watch volume and be prepared to sell quickly. I'm still holding for $7+.



Thursday, October 11, 2012

10/12/12 Friday Watchlist

Friday's are known for short squeezes so I will play the odds and not short anything and instead am focused on squeezes to buy into. On watch:  ROSG, PGNX, LPHI, CTIC, BVSN


ROSG


ROSG spiked nicely today as predicted after my 5.26 entry, spiking to 6.1 within 30min of market open with news of a new addition to management. I am still holding all my position from 5.26 as this thing will only continue to rise with upcoming news. Look for a second spike at 5.48 if not then 5.35 for sure. Could hit 6.5+

PGNX


PGNX has been dropping for weeks. It finally got some good news about its advancing one of its drugs into Phase 2 clinical trial; this should be enough to start the rebound which has already started as it gained over 8% today. Tomorrow could be a nice revival pattern as it could spike thru EMA20. Has alot of upside for even a swing trade.


LPHI


LPHI is due for a rebound as short must cover; it's already showing signs of a rebound as it's hanging about key res at 2.14 range which is what i'm watching with natural res at 2.25 as confirmation. Could hit 2.35+


CTIC


CTIC is also due for a rebound as short must cover; it's already showing signs of a rebound as it's hanging about key res at 1.4 i'm watching with 1.5 as confirmation. Could hit 1.8

BVSN


BVSN has been very spikage with volume lately as if its bottoming and ready to go bullish. It has 3Q fiscal year report coming ahead so this could explain the volume spike on no news. So I am def watching this as it could find bottom here as it hangs about key res 8.48. I am watching it pattern between 8.5 and 8.8. Key res at 9.26 with trendline res overhead. If it could rally a short squeeze Friday then it could run nice esp if it can break trendline res just above key res 9.26.

Trading Tips
(1) Mornings (9:30-10:30am) and end of day (eod, 3:00-4:00pm) are the only time you should be entering any trades on the long side. Shorting is mostly midday.
(2)I usually like to buy after a long candle stick thru (and closing above) the levels I'm watching.
(3) Look at multiple time frames; i usually look at 5min and 30min, sometimes 15min.

Happy Friday, happy trading, good luck.
-Ra


Wednesday, October 10, 2012

10/11/12 Thursday Watchlist


OREX (long-biased, swing trade)

OREX needs to consolidate more before 6 b/o run. 5.97 is key res that it needs to hold but I should wait for confirmation when it hits new high's above 6.08.

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RIMM (long-biased, swing trade, earnings)


RIMM is anticipating a 8.0 breakout. 7.5 is key supp and a probable bottom where I will be looking to buy into an intraday short squeeze preferably in the morning or towards eod. Remember that breakout usually happen during morning spikes and eod rally, 9:30-10:30 and 3-4p respectively. 8.29 is key res that was tested twice, 3rd time is usually a charm.
_________________________________________________________________________________
CECO (long-biased, swing trade)


CECO had a nice morning spike spiking to 4.34 (around 10:30a) before fading midday along with the very bearish market. I held for too long (selling at 4.06 from 4.04) without taking profits given how bearish the market was. Let this be a lesson, that you take profits at the end of a morning spike esp in a bearish market like today. It started bouncing into the close so I'll be watching it for a possible morning spike entry. If it doesn't morning spike and b/o key res at 4.16 then I won't touch it and instead wait for an eod spike to buy into. 
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ROSG (long biased, day/swing trade)

ROSG (I'm long 5.26) - Is really cheap right now. It's back in the 5.2s which is where it gapped-up to before spiking when it got an analyst upgrade with PT $16/share back on 8/23. I bought in the final 30min eod at 5.26 into the eod strength at this very probable bottom. I'm expecting a gap and spike tomorrow and some time of news (possibly another analyst upgrade or something, anything really) soon. I don't see it dropping any lower but if we go the next few days without news, it could fade lower, in which case I will trade the price action and sell in anticipation of re-buying it at a cheaper price like I did when i bought at 5.88 avg.

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OTHERS
Short-Biased
SNSS - a good short on any bounces. could drop below 5 by next week.
NTE - a good short on any bounces. could drop below 10 by next week.

Long-Biased
SURG - earnings winner that gapped and crapped followed by a mean shakeout like ROSG did after its good news. I am watching 4 as probable bottom. Waiting for it to slip under 4, consolidate and b/o 4.
LPHI - looking for the bottom above 2.0 with 2.25 breakout on watch and 2.35 key res b/o as confirmation. If it drops below 2.0 i'll be looking for the bottom between 1.75 and 1.9 with 2.0 b/o as confirmation. 
LIVE - letting it pattern here at 4. I am waiting for it to slip under 4, consolidate and b/o thru 4.0.


Tuesday, October 9, 2012

10/10/12 Wed Watchlist [with follow-up]

OREX (long-biased, swing trade)
The weekly chart looks more interesting:

The daily chart:














OREX - Received an upgrade on 09/06 with $13 price target (PT). I missed my entry as it squeezed thru key res at 5.97. I will buy near 6 if it doesn't gap up and run tomorrow. Sell if it can't hold above 5.97 key res.


FOLLOW-UP

















OREX needs to consolidate more before 6 b/o run. 5.97 is key res that it needs to hold but I should wait for confirmation when it hits new high's above 6.08.

_________________________________________________________________________________
RIMM (long-biased, swing trade)


RIMM - is back on watch. Earnings winner with big upside potential to $9+ as these earnings sentiments can last for weeks. I initially bought in the low 8's and sold for breakeven because it looked over-extended and there wasn't enough volume to support its initial gains. Now that it's dipping/consolidating it should be ready for a nice run. I am looking to buy a squeeze thru 8.0 unless it dips further towards key supp at 7.5 where I would do a dip buy and swing it until my target $9.0/share.

FOLLOW-UP

RIMM is anticipating a 8.0 breakout. 7.5 is key supp and a probable bottom where I will be looking to buy into an intraday short squeeze preferably in the morning or towards eod. Remember that breakout usually happen during morning spikes and eod rally, 9:30-10:30 and 3-4p respectively. 8.29 is key res that was tested twice, 3rd time is usually a charm.
_________________________________________________________________________________
CECO (long-biased, swing trade)

CECO (I'm long 4.04)- Yesterday, announced the dates for next earnings release (Nov 8th) which can be catalyst for a 4.16 key res breakout. I bought into a short squeeze at 4.04 just above 4.0 natural res. Volume is picking up so I expect a nice run tomorrow with some volume. I will sell if it struggles to hold above 4.

FOLLOW-UP

CECO had a nice morning spike spiking to 4.34 (around 10:30a) before fading midday along with the very bearish market. I held for too long (selling at 4.06 from 4.04) without taking profits given how bearish the market was. Let this be a lesson, that you take profits at the end of a morning spike esp in a bearish market like today. It started bouncing into the close so I'll be watching it for a possible morning spike entry. If it doesn't morning spike and b/o key res at 4.16 then I won't touch it and instead wait for an eod spike to buy into. 


Monday, October 8, 2012

10/08/12 Monday Watchlist [with follow-up]


SANP (Short-biased, Pump&Dump)


SANP is a pump and dump being promoted by Stock Market Authority (SMA). Their pumps usually last for a few weeks (see there previous pumps HERE) so they could hold this thing up for weeks, which means you should be cautious shorting it. I'd short small positions and try not to be too aggressive as it could still run if it manages to squeeze thru key resistance at 1.75. Res at 1.63 is not key but if its weak it could crack at any res. Look for a top at any of these res but keep your finger on the trigger/stay alert at all times until it tanks. We missed a perfect top on Oct 1 before the washout down to 1.15. Until volume picks up, I'll be mostly watching the 5min and 15min chart for a top. Stay alert.

FOLLOW-UP
SANP panicked beautifully. I considered shorting the top at 1.51 but didnt want to pay the $100 trade desk fee at SureTrader. This thing is probably dead but you never know, this is a SMA promotion which could run longer. Just keep on watch for a bottom for a bounce play.

ZNGA (Short-biased)


ZNGA moved as predicted. These bounces are always potential buys if you know how to play them, but of course you must remain short-biased. It had some breakout volume eod, so just be patient and wait for a squeeze (i.e. bounces near or above its highs with fading volume) and then look for the top next week.

FOLLOW-UP
ZNGA topped nicely. I am short 2.45. Volume is fading so im holding short.

ROSG (Long-biased)


ROSG didn't do much but consolidate and hold its position. This price action is still a good set-up for a monday morning dip (below 5.75 to lure in aggressive shorts) and spike. If there is no news today or tomorrow it could drop another 50cent so you may want to sell some into a bounce to prepare to buy at lower price. All it needs now is news.

FOLLOW-UP
ROSG consolidated some more as the anticipated press release never came because the conference meeting got postponed or something. I sold all shares at a small loss from my 5.88 avg. I should keep dropping towards 5.3 where we can buy some at those cheaper prices. It should not drop below 5.25 as that would be too bullish and foolish of market makers. Beware of fakeouts below 5.25 but it should not hold under for long. I will buy partial position near 5.3 for swing.

SRPT (Short-biased)


SRPT gapped down and morning panicked to 34s. This is what I was looking for and why I shorted end of day the day before at 37.5 and covered at 34.6 for a quick $300 profit. It ended weak and may gap down again. A reshort on any spike/gap-up towards (but under) key res at 36.25. This thing will likely be under 30 this week as profit taking continues.

FOLLOW-UP

SRPT behaved as I had called. It gapped to 35s (but under key res 36.25) so it was a great short from 35 as it dropped to 31. 

SNSS (Short-biased)


SNSS squeezing nicely. This is the kind of squeeze i like to buy but will just play it on the short side this time. It looks like it may be topping at key res 6.5 so look for the pattern and be prepared to short.

FOLLOW-UP

SNSS still squeezing. As I said look for the top near 6.5 and short it especially as volume fades.

NTE (Short-biased)


NTE Friday squeezed today. I covered 11.11 fromm 10.99 as I cut my losses. You never know when a squeeze will lead to a breakout so I don't gamble it. I shoulda coulda woulda shorted again just under 11 but was stuck watching other trades. Still a reshort under 11 on any spike or gap-up. NTE should be atleast 50cents this week but could do alot bouncing if investors are still supporting it.

FOLLOW-UP

NTE no big moves. Still looking for a top and short.


BBDA (dead pump rebound play)



BBDA has support at 0.006. No play until it bottoms near/under 0.003. If I could find borrows and could effort to short this stock, I'd short it at the top of this Friday squeeze for a nice 50% drop in a couple days.


FOLLOW-UP















BBDA no big moves, just waiting for 0.0025 after 0.006 gets taken out.