Tuesday, March 26, 2013

03/26/13 Tuesday Watchlist


Market: SPY is still in bullish consolidation. its midrange so im playing the market sentiment (red/green short/long)

Longs : Pump are heating up so I will be focused on them a little more.

RFIL - watching 6.5 and 7.25 (all time high) for breakout

CCUR - this NIA pump is heating up. its testing 7.85/8. big upside when it breaks out. no play until vol accumulation. watching above 7.85 for momo.

GOFF - this a potential buy today as it hits new highs. Could be a great breaking in a bull market. watching 0.4 for b/o entry. I bought at a good position 0.38 but sold for a penny to follow my buy on green short on red rule. but this stock has only natural res over head w/ plenty of upside

REVI - no play until 0.17 breakout

GEVO. I sold at 2.18 when 2.21 couldnt hold. 2.37 is confirmation. this is not a bullish pattern but it has momo. watching 2.03 for momo.

Shorts
ANAC -is ever-extended but holding up. i covered becasue it was still holding up thru 6.5 into the close although vol is drying. no play until it starts cracking thru 6.5


Momo
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Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum

pt = price target

res = resistance
supp = support


Monday, March 25, 2013

03/25/13 Monday Watchlist

Market: SPY is still in bullish consolidation. Its Friday, staying bullish.


Longs : Pump are heating up so I will be focused on them a little more.

GEVO (im long 2.22). 2.25 is entry point. if vol supports 2.21. upside to 2.59 to test. 2.37 is confirmation
CCUR - this NIA pump is heating up. its testing 7.85/8. big upside when it breaks out. no play until vol accumulation.
GOFF - this a potential buy today as it hits new highs. Could be a great breaking in a bull market. watching 0.4 for b/o entry
REVI - shoulda coulda woulda bought into the close at 0.10 on Thursday for the gap-up/spike Friday morning. I shoulda played this one instead 0.17 b/o.
NQ - held up well above 9.34. now im more interested in the 10.0 b/o for entry. upside to 10.75 key res to test

Shorts
ANAC - is quite overextended on the drug news. I scalped this for 40cents on Friday. I'd like to see a day 2 squeeze/spike to short into if it fails to break 6.5
CZR- is looking toppy but has ema supp. it could morning panic. but could squeueze otherwise. play the market sentiment (red/green). downside to 15.5 to test.

Momo
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Friday, March 22, 2013

03/22/13 Friday Watchlist



Market: SPY is still in bullish consolidation. Its Friday, staying bullish.

Longs
GEVO the hottest stock to watch imo. 2.25 is entry point. if vol supports 2.21. upside to 2.59 to test. 2.37 is confirmation
ENPH is a big momentum stock. watching 5.85 dip buy or 6 for breakout on a red/green move
CCUR - this NIA pump is heating up. its testing 7.85/8. big upside when it breaks out.
AMRI - holding above 9.7 key supp. if market spikes could squeeze big. upside to 11 for scalp. potential short until it b/o 10.9/11.1
ANAC- momo play. potential buy if it can hold supp at 5.32. Upside to 6. im always short bias on this stock, potential short eventually.
NQ - watch 9.34 for gap-up or for vol accumulation

Shorts
CZR- is looking toppy but has ema supp. if it could morning panic. but could squeueze otherwise. play the market sentiment (red/green).

Momo

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Thursday, March 21, 2013

03/21/13 Thursday Watchlist


Market: SPY could still go either way at these levels. Its a matter of bears vs. bear trap. But current price action is still bullish.

WATCHLIST
My strategy is mostly daytrading and short-selling but in this market I will buy good set-ups for day- or swing trade only in a bull market. Play the market according to its sentiment (red/green), be bearish on red and bullish on green.

Long Watch:  Lots of good set-ups for today and Friday

ENPH - I sold this on Tuesday when the market was red but did not trade on yesterday's bull market and missed my reentry. Sometimes you just gotta be patient in this bull market. It is finally well above 5.85 and testing 6. Potential buy above 5.85 key supp. We should see 6.7 soon.

GEVO - is a former earnings winner/growth stock that just won an patent infringement case. This stock is due for a rebound and finally has the vol to push forward. I called the gap and crap following the a/h PR. 2.03 is key supp but 2.21/2.25 is the breakout of interest.

MERU - is trying to find supp at 6.3 as it consolidates above it. Potential buy in green market.
test key res at 7.3/7.4

AMRI - seems to want more as it's holding up above 9.67 as it consolidates from the predictable big cracked I shorted. Potential buy above 9.67 upside to retest 10.9/11.1 res zone.

NQ - is testing under 9.34 key res. Potential buy on the breakout, upside to test 10.75 key res. upside to

Longs On Alert
PGNX - is a little extended as it tests under 5 key res. Potentials buy when it b/o 5.03. upside to test 5.5 key res. 5.5/5.7 is key res zone. big upside when it breakouts thru this zone.
KWK - has consolidated/faded to retest 2.4/2.5 key supp where it should find supp. Potential buy when it patterns to b/o 2.68 key res.
DRL - just reported eps 0.20 while its trading under a dollar. ridiculously cheap. not sure if this has bottomed at 0.64 as I anticipated or if it wants lower. Too midrange now to do anything. let it pattern first.
BIOL- is still holding well above 4.04 supp but is midrange. It still has potential upside to restest 4.9 key res. No play until it repatterns
REVI (The Bull Exchange pump) and GOFF (Awesome Penny Stocks pump) - GOFF is still patterning. I am watching REVI for a potentail dip buy here at 0.10 prob supp.

Short Watch:

FNMA/FMCC - have both spiked too much. Potential short if they top at 1.18/1.25 key res zone.

UNXL (over-extended)- is still trapping shorts as it hits new highs again. This could drop 30% or more when it tops. No play until a big crack.
CZR (ill-financial)- is still testing 17.9/18 key res. It's still toppy but could go either way as the market is still bullish. Potential short under 17.9 in a bearish market. I expect this to drop 30% or more from its highs once it tops.
GV (over-extended)- is still trapping shorts as it hits new highs again. these breakouts outs are potential scalps but I prefer to buy good stocks that are breakingout over crap stocks.

Momo Plays
Follow me on stocktwits (@sickledsystems) for intradday momomentum plays, which I usually find on Finviz.com

Tuesday, March 19, 2013

03/19/2013 Tuesday Watchlist

Market: SPY could go either way at these levels. Its a matter of bears vs. bear trap.

WATCHLIST
My strategy is mostly daytrading and short-selling but in this market I will buy good set-ups for day- or swing trade only in a bull market. Play the market according to its sentiment (red/green), be bearish on red and bullish on green.

Long Watch:

ENPH (earnings winner, i'm long 5.65) - consolidated w/ the market but is holding above 5.5 key supp. If market stays bullish I plan to sell into the next big spike towards 6.7 key res test. Im selling if market goes bearish.

KWK (earnings winner) - consolidated w/ the red market. I sold as you never know if it will hold up. Its still holding about 2.68 supp. Potential buy.

PGNX (earnings winner) - morning spiked as expected but only to consolidate midday w/ the red market. Its still holding above 4.35 supp. Potential buy.

Longs On Alert
RFIL (earnings winner) - seems to have dip buy supp but as I said it has low short interest so I wouldn't buy this midrange, only at key supp 5.7 or 6.5 b/o.

DRL (earnings winner) - just reported eps 0.20 while its trading under a dollar. ridiculously cheap. not sure if this has bottomed at 0.64 as I anticipated or if it wants lower. Too midrange now to do anything. let it pattern first.

REVI (The Bull Exchange pump) and GOFF (Awesome Penny Stocks pump) - these are pumps by top tier promoters. Their pumps tend to hold up and spike for several days/weeks esp in a bull market. I plan to buy these on a big dip when they patterns. These plays are how you bank 20-50% on a single trade.

Short Watch:

UNXL (over-extended)- this stock has seen way too much growth in just a few months. this is mostly hype and momo, in other words there are alot of weak hands holding this stock. Potential short if it tops here in the 27.5/29 range. This could drop 30% or more when it tops.

CZR (ill-financial)- this stock is complete crap but is spiking on hype around new online gambling laws. I expect this to drop 30% or more from its highs once it tops. Key res zone at 17/18.

GV (over-extended)- seems to be topping. potential short soon especially when it cracks 4.38 key supp. downside to 3.9/4 to test. Im also watching 4.8 for a top if it spikes more.

OWW (over-extended)- this is another entertainment stock spiking w/ the sector. it was a former earnings loser and deserves to drop back to the 4s. 5.8/5.7 is key res zone. 5 is support. 6.5 is also key res in case it squeezes more shorts in a bull market.

Momo Plays
Follow me on stocktwits (@sickledsystems) for momomentum plays, which I usually find on Finviz.com

Sunday, March 17, 2013

03/18/13 Monday Watchlist (10 stocks)



Market: The market is still bullish as it seems to be holding up against the negative consumer sentiment. Still be bullish but bearish to over-extensions.

WATCHLIST
My strategy is mostly daytrading and short-selling but in this market I will buy good set-ups for day- or swing trade only in a bull market. Today is Friday so I will be more bullish today.

Long Watch:

ENPH (earnings winner, i'm long 5.65) - this is spiking w/ momo. i bought this just above 5.5 key supp. i plan to sell into the next big spike towards 6.7 key res to test.

KWK (earnings winner, long 2.73 avg) - this is clearly breakingout. 2.68 and 3.09 are key. I bought 2.68 revival eod after midday consolidation just before the high vol run-up into the close. I plan to sell into the next spike towards 3.09 res.

PGNX (earnings winner) - is breaking out on big earnings win. I tried buying the 4.35 b/o but sold as vol faded midday and it didn't run into the close. Potential buy as it could still gap or morning spike on Monday once it finds supp at 4.35. Upside to test 5.

RFIL (earnings winner) - has low short interest so I wouldn't buy this midrange, only at key supp 5.7 or 6.5 b/o.

DRL (earnings winner) - just reported eps 0.20 while its trading under a dollar. ridiculously cheap. I expect alot of big time dip buying (meaning vol accumulation). No play until it bottoms between 0.62/0.66. upside to a dollar, short-term.

Short Watch:

MTG (over-extended, short 4.96)- has been hanging about 5 thanks to dip buyers but is still failing it w/ fading vol. This should drop 50cents or more soon. I'm waiting for 4.90 to crack.

GV (over-extended)- seems to be topping. potential short soon especially when it cracks 4.38 key supp. downside to 3.9/4 to test.

BWEN (ill-financial)- this stock is also crap. Energy is hot its been trapping shorts, who are responsible for it spiking this much. Don't be aggressive. Potential short soon. 6.2, 5.2 and 4.7 are key levels to watch.

CZR (ill-financial)- this stock is complete crap but is spiking on hype around new gambling laws. I expect this to drop 30% or more from its highs once it tops. Key res zone at 17/18.

OWW (over-extended)- this is another entertainment stock spiking w/ the sector. it was a former earnings loser and deserves to drop back to the 4s. 5.8/5.7 is key res zone. 5 is support.



LESSON: How I shorted AMRI top and nailed the morning panic!

Four (4) indications of the AMRI probable top:
1) Overextended from $8 on the weekly chart
2) Crackage after failing 10.9/11.1 key res zone test
3) Volume fade following the initial crack is a sign of fear
4) First red day