5/20/13 Monday Watchlist (8 hot stocks)

Market Season: Bull

Swing Strategy: Buy and Hold

Current Sentiment:
Bullish. I expect $SPY to continue its breakout after consolidating over the past 2 trading days. I expect a green week starting with a green market day on Monday. Be bullish and only bearish to over-extended tops at key res.

WATCHLIST

Call Option: These are all recent earnings winners that are set to breakout.

WAGE - this is the biggest earnings winner on the list that is hitting all-time highs. I already bought both $30 and $35 June13 calls but will add to my position this week. The sky is the limit; I expect this to hold up above 30 and spike to test 35 as it reaches for new highs.
VIPS- is a big earnings winner failed its breakout on earnings day from the open. It seems to have bottomed as it closed the week with some strength. I expect a move towards 37. I will wait for confirmation that I can breakout 34 to buy some $40strike Jun13 calls. I wanna hit it big on this nice earnings win.

TTWO - i tried buying this earnings winner on a big dip after the earnings breakout fail but ended up getting stopped out. It seems to be bottoming now as it holds up above key supp at 16.2. This a potential buy Monday but confirmation is when it closes the day above key res at 16.6, from there it should see spike to test 17.4 key res before a possible multiday breakout run.

AEGR - is also hitting alltime highs. I would like to see it dip a little between 60 and 55 to buy some call options at cheaper price before a b/o continuation.

Short Sell Stock: 

RSOL - is spiking big due to this seeking alpha article in light of it reporting earnings with narrower losses q2q. While this is really an earnings winner, it spiked way too much too quickly into gross overextension and should pullback hard as weak hands sell-off espcially given it hardly has any short interest. Some res at 4.25 but i'd like to see it try for 4.75 before shorting it.
HTCH - this is a former earnings winner that has become overextended and could flush early this week for scalps. Key res is near 5.0 with 50-75cents of potential downside. Something at 4.5 but 4.3 is key supp.

Pumps and Dumps

XUII - is the only good pump that is shortable at Suretrader. I will buy a perfect breakout above 0.42. This has a bullish chart; in this market, I wouldn't short aggressively (look at LOTE and OCTX, both refuse to collapse) but will be prepared to short scalp any overextended tops.

TALK- i bought this at 1.06 as it seems to be bottoming. all it takes is a bullish market on Monday to squeeze shorts until it tests 1.14 which is key before testing for 1.25+

Abbreviations:

q2q- quarter-to-quarter

res - resistance

supp - support

b/o - breakout

04/19/13 Friday Watchlist (6 stocks)

Market: SPY has been taking a beating due to some earnings and other news but it is still trying to hold up to squeeze but its hard to tell if it will fail and turn to bear season, which I look forward to. It could be topping so I will be bearish until the signs are more clear.

Longs
ACUR - is spiking on drug news. I short this from overextension but couldnt find shares to short before the big crash. It has to bottom and shorts will cover. 2.57/2.67 is key supp zone so I will look for the bottom there. This could squeeze/bounce to retest 3.

Swing Plays
REFR - this is a free TimLongTerm pick. its a low float so it will move w/ Tim's following. should see 5s as early as this week. Waiting for a 4.40 intraday res b/o for entry. upsdie to 5.25 swing. But I may buy the dip at 4.04 key supp if it patterns properly. 4.1 4.3 and 4.5 are key levels. EMA200 (30min candle) is testing for supp at 4.04. if it continues to hold, i may buy going into the weekend.


Shorts
It's Friday so I wouldn't be short anything going into late afternoon (2-2:30p) or over the weekend.

HIMX - i nailed this trade by following the plan as described in my watchlist. Potential short after a failed spikes towards 5.95/6 key res. 5.75 is important supp


SNSS - is an ill-financial stock i've shorted many times as it cracked and faded. 5.03/5.0 is key supp zone. its a short under this zone. 25cents of potential downside if it morning panics.

UVXY - this stock is a fading stock that is full of hype and momo. I will look to scalp this on the short side as it has a good volatility. 8.76 is key res, 8.3

NQ - this is a former earnings winner that is still fading as it consolidates. its faded under EMA50 and 8.09 key supp going into the close yesterday. Potential short only if it morning panics, but be prepared to cover quickly. 25-50cents of downside.

Momo

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Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
r/g = red to green
g/r = green to red
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support

04/18/13 Thursday Watchlist (5 stocks)

Market: SPY has been taking a beating due to some earnings and other news but it is still trying to hold up to squeeze into another breakout as it shows signs of a bottom (big vol and positive rsi divergence). It is still bearish but if it continues to squeeze it could go bullish again towards eod or tomorrow. So I would be slightly bullish and looking to buy some dips (like REFR and SVA) to buy and hold.

Longs
ACUR - is spiking on drug news. I short this from overextension but couldnt find shares to short before the big crash. It has to bottom and shorts will cover. 2.57/2.67 is key supp zone so I will look for the bottom there. This could squeeze/bounce to retest 3.

Swing Plays
REFR - this is a free TimLongTerm pick. its a low float so it will move w/ Tim's following. should see 5s as early as this week. Waiting for a 4.40 intraday res b/o for entry. upsdie to 5.25 swing. But I may buy the dip at 4.04 key supp if it patterns properly.

NQ - recent earnings winner that is bottoming at 8/8.1 key supp. I am watching it pattern under 8.77 (intraday res) for a technical breakout entry to swing from. upside to 10.7 swing.

SVA - this is a bird flu sympathy play I called at 3.83 before it spiking to 4.40. I screwed this trade up by trying to daytrade it rather than buying at key supp (either 3.83 or 4.08) and swinging it. Sometimes you just gotta buy ahead of the action and wait patiently as some of these stocks like SVA spike too quickly to try to buy. this is still a buy, i shoulda took some shares into the close but i may try to catch a dip near 4.08


Shorts
HIMX - is testing key res at 6.25. this is a potential short on a g/r move. 30cents of downside potential

Momo

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Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
r/g = red to green
g/r = green to red
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support

04/15/13 Monday Watchlist (6 hot stocks)

Market: SPY is breaking out! I will not be shorting aggressively. This is the time to buy on big dips and hold.


Longs
RAD (im long 2.18) - I rebought at 2.25 just before a small midday perk-up. its holding up as it consolidates. I am hopping for a morning spike or gap-up/spike to sell into.

BIOL - is still breaking out but consolidating. I would like to see a big dip to 4.9 to rebuy. still has potential upside to 5.7

Swing Plays
REFR - this is a free TimLongTerm pick. its a low float so it will move w/ Tim's following. should see 5s as early as this week. Waiting for a 4.40 intraday res b/o for entry. upsdie to 5.25 swing.

NQ - recent earnings winner that is bottoming at 8.1 key supp. I am watching it pattern under 8.77 (intraday res) for a technical breakout entry to swing from. upside to 10.7 swing.

SVA - this is a bird flu sympathy play. It is patterning nicely and could spike thru 3.85 key res soon. upside to mid 4s. I'd like to see it close the day above 4.08 before buying it. but I may buy a perfect breakout if it patterns under 4.08. upside to 4.5 swing.


Shorts
HIMX - faded under much probable res. potential short on a failed morning spike under 5.95/6 key res zone. I wouldnt hold short for long in this market. if it morning panics, i would cover quickly. downside to 5.4/5.5

Momo

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Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support

04/12/13 Friday Watchlist (9 hot stocks)

Market: SPY is breaking out! I will not be shorting aggressively. This is the time to buy on big dips and hold.


Longs

AMRS (im long 3.05)- i bought this into the close for a gap-up and i was right as it is already up 7cents in premarket.

RAD (im long 2.18) - big earnings with consistent q2q eps growth. brokeout 2.05 whcih woulda been good entry as i called in my watch list. I bought this premarket following the upgrade w/ a $3 pt

BIOL (im long 5.05)- bought this into the close as well for a gap-up, and so far its gapped up 7cents in premarket. key levels are 4.85 and 5.75

SVA - this is a bird flu sympathy play. It is patterning nicely and could spike thru 3.85 key res soon. upside to mid 4s.

REFR - this is a free TimLongTerm pick. its a low float so it will move w/ Tim's following. should see 5s by next week.

Shorts
It's Friday so I wouldn't be short in the late afternoon.

ROYL - just signed a $44mil deal with an unnamed company but its not official. the chart is very bearish so I will be looking for vol to continue to dry before shorting this. it could morning panic but i'd like to see it spike first. 3 and 3.7 are key.

HIMX - is consolidating. I'd like to see it spike into overextension before shorting it. Pential short when the next spike tops.

PAMT - is fading gradually after the bounce following the crackage thru key supp at 16. it cracked intraday supp at 16.9 and started fading gradually against the bull market. I am now more interested in it breaking down key supp at 16 today as the market is red today.

MCOX - is testing 5.75 just as I anticipated. its building support under 5.75 so it could run further if it can break 5.75. 6.35 and 7.25 are also key. potential short under 5.75 when it cracks big.

Momo

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Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support

04/11/13 Thurs Watchlist (6 hot stocks)

Market: SPY is breaking out! I will not be shorting aggressively.

Longs
ROYL - just received a big $45mil order, which is more than its market cap. not the greatest pattern to buy but its breaking out with no key res until 3.75. It's already a abit extended so I'll wait for a dip to buy b/w 3-3.25

AMRS - just announced a breakthrough drug development for malaria. 3.0 and 3.8 are key levels. 3.25 is also important.

RAD - big earnings with consistent q2q eps growth. I am watching for a 2.05 key res breakout.

Shorts

HIMX - is consolidating. I'd like to see it spike into overextension before shorting it. Pential short when the next spike tops.

PAMT - is fading gradually after the bounce following the crackage thru key supp at 16. Potential short under 16.9 which is intradday supp.

MCOX - is testing 5.75 just as I anticipated. its building support under 5.75 so it could run further if it can break 5.75. 6.35 and 7.25 are also key.

Momo

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Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support

04/09/13 Tuesday Watchlist (5 stocks)

Market: SPY is still middrange as it consolidates. Could go either way at these levels. it will make big moves either way.

Longs
CALL - recent big earnings winner w/ very high short interest (49% of shares short, 10 dtc). this just needs momo to breakout 16. 16.25 and 16.7 are key res.

HIMX - I am short-biased on this stock but its gapping premarket into all time highs. this is a potnetial buy above key supp 5.95 if it holds, could run for multiple days. its always a potential short when it tops at natural res like 6.0 6.25 6.5 etc..

Shorts
AMRI (short 9.62)- this is a former earnings winner that is topping. I shorted out of technical speculation for scalping purposes. This stock has a history of crack big even during consolidation. I shorted under key res 9.67 (so my stop is tight) and plan to cover into a morning panic. It could drop $1

MCOX - potential short under 5.0, downside to 3.5

PAMT - is topping just as I anticipated and glad I nailed my 19.67 short although I should reshorted the bounce. This a potential short under 18.25 with downside to 14/15.

Momo

Follow me on stocktwits (@sickledsystems).

Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support