12/30/2013 New Years Watchlist (6 bullish stocks)

Market: I am still bullish $SPY into 2014. The S&P is currently has forward-P/E of 15.4 which is fair value based on recent history; however the market has traded in the P/E ~25 range back in the late 90s when the tech bubble was brewing. The 20year average P/E is 19 which means, at its currently price $183.8 SPY has 20% more upside, if history repeats. Keep in mind that SPY is due for a correction after this breakout so I expect 190-200 to resist. So for this week as we start the new year, the market is technically bullish and should continue its bullish run. I expect January to be strong because of the January effect which create volatility in this bull market. Given the lite holiday trading volume last week, I expect a dip/consolidation this week which should present dip-buying opportunities because we are still in a buy-and-hold market.

WATCHLIST

OPTIONS:

GE - General Electric started breaking out last week due to positive guidance and appointment of new company officers. We bought (March2014 call options) the breakout when GE was trading at $27.3 (now $27.83); so far we are now up +27% on our options contracts. Our goal is to sell for 100% gain, which could be near resistance at $29. Our stop is near $27.3, which is where we entered the trade.

JPM - The Financials sector (index: XLK) is projected to have the highest earnings growth rate for this 4th quarter, so expect a run-up into 4Q earnings season as investors look forward. JPM leads the finance sector with nearly $220B market cap. We still own a starter position in March2014 call options and plan to buy more contracts once it starts breaking out into new highs. Once it breaks out, we see upside to $62 where there is historical resistance. At $62/share, JPM's P/E is still only 14 (currently 13), which is still cheap. I am only bullish JPM mainly because the whole sector could continue upwards due to its strong 4Q guidance; however I do not plan on holding for JPM's earnings on Jan 14th because the estimates are below companies growth streak. Our stop is near the $27.2/27.5 support zone.

AAPL - Apple gapped-up and spiked to 570s with strong trading volume following announcing the China Mobile (ticker: CHL) deal but faded with low holiday trading volume. I expect AAPL to revisit those 570 highs and breakout towards 600. I will fully engage with $650Mar14 call options once the breakout occurs. Breakout is confirmed when it closes the day above 570.1.

FB - Facebook is a classic growth stock in the hot and volatile tech sector (as evident by TWTR from last week's watchlist). FB is ready to continue its breakout into new all time highs. TWTR and FB will continue race each other as they climb higher. The next FB breakout will take it well into the 60s in the next couple weeks, so we do not want to miss this trade. We are preparing to buy $70Mar14 calls once it breaks out to all time highs.

STOCKS:

VNDA - In November, Vanda Pharmaceuticals had game changing events with FDA approvals as evident by the massive buying volume after the approvals. VNDA spiked from under $7 to over $15 on the news. It faded back down to 9s after the news and has been running towards its highs and could breakout as investors look forward to commercialization of the new drugs which could boost earnings big time. I will be watching for a cup&handle breakout above that neckline at $13 and sell near $15-16. I will be prepared to buy any positive catalysts (news, upgrades, seeking alpha article etc..).

FNMA - Fannie Mae is still consolidating as it approaches to breakout above $3.30 resistance. The breakout is confirmed when it closes the day above 3.30 with strong volume.

12/23/2013 Week Watchlist (6 stocks)

Market: $SPY has started setting up for the Santa Rally following the Fed's decision to taper its stimulus to $70B/mo from $80B/mo so expect very bullishness in the weeks ahead. However, I think Monday is a good time to hedge your position, as there is always a slim chance that the market could sell-off as people lock in profits on a very strong year in the stock market, which is up well over 20% in 2013.

WATCHLIST

JPM - banks are cheap and JP Morgan Chase Bank leads them. Banks are good sympathy plays off the Fed taper. I bought a starter position in JPM at 57.5 in $60Mar14 call options and expect to at least double up my position this week. Price target is 62 in a few weeks time.

AAPL - Apple Inc. is officially working with China Mobile (CHL) in a deal that will bring iphones to over 700Mil new users in China. That is a big time revenue growth potential for the most valued company in the world. AAPL is headed for $600/share + more. I am very bullish AAPL this week. I am looking at a 552 entry point with a stop hard stop at 544. I do expect a big gap-up on this CHL news.

SYY - Sysco Corp.  is a growth stock that just merged with US Foods (also a growth company) in a deal that makes the merger an efficient one that will save the company money in the future. SYY only paid for US Foods at the equivalent of P/E 10. SYY has P/E 21, so this deal makes the new merged company much cheaper than it was prior to the merger. SYY's P/E is approx. 17 after merger, making SYY atleast 20% cheaper now. Therefore I see SYY valued at $42, which is near the highs it gapped up to on the day it announced the merger. I am looking to buy this bottoming price action. My entry point is 36.6 with stop-loss at 36.2. Upside to 40-42/shares.

GE - General Electric just reported that they expect significant growth in organic industrial sales to help the company sales grow 5% in 2014. GE is a growth stock trading at a fair value currently, but its slightly undervalued looking forward. So I think this is a good time to buy the company ahead of the street pricing in this forward growth. My entry point is above the 52week high at 27.5 with stop-loss under 27. Price target is $29/share.

FNMA - believe it or not this Fannie Mae is recovering from the financial crisis and is currently undervalued looking forward as the entire finance sector continues its recovery.  I am watching carefully for a 3.50 breakout. The stock could rebound with plenty of upside. I've see short-term upside to $4-5/shares and long-term upside to $7/share. I've got a hard stop-loss under 2.90.

TWTR - Twitter is a good play off the tech sector strength lead by AAPL. TWTR has plenty of upside as the bubble continues to brew on this fresh ipo and growth stock. Thanks to the overall market breaking out and the big AAPL/CHL deal carrying the tech sector, TWTR should make big moves this week following four consecutive bullish weeks for the stock.

Why TTWO could spike 50% into September 2013

Why TTWO could spike 50% into September 2013

Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) is the makers of Grand Theft Auto 5, which is one of the most anticipated games of the year. They are fundamentally strong, recently beating earnings estimates (eps +6% and revenue +15% vs. estimates). Although they have reported a net loss in earnings (-0.54 eps) in 2Q13 they beat estimates and have excellent guidance for next quarter 3Q13 (1.53 eps, 789M revenue estimates) reflecting an expected blowout as compared to last years 3Q12 (0.11 eps, 288M revenue); this is largely due to the highly anticipated Grand Theft Auto 5 (GTA 5, September 17 release date), which as already sold a record 800k pre-orders.

From a technical perspective, TTWO's bullish (on all time trames) and clean chart virtually has no technical resistance above 17.84 (its new 52wk high which it reached just after its recent 3Q13 earnings) until the gap it must fill to 20.5 short term, and resistance at 26 longer term.  TTWO has broken resistance on the daily (just yesterday closing at its highest close in almost 5 years), weekly and montly (as it ended the month of July well above its monthly resistance at 17); TTWO is currently trading at 17.53. What is also interesting about TTWO besides its clean chart pattern, is its high short interest (20% shares short) and not to mention, recently, the company approved a buyback of up to 7.5M shares (which accounts for 8% of the shares outstanding).

Risk/Rewards: The best r/r entry would be near 17.0 which is resistance now turned support from virtually all time frames (dialy, weekly, and monthly charts).

Disclaimer: I am long 2300 shares at 17.5 and have plans to buy $35k worth in call options at market open on 8/1/13.

Whats also interesting I find is that, historically, before the release of any new GTA game, TTWO runs up $3-10 from the month prior to the release date. You can add this to the earnings run-up and can expect much excitement about GTA as we approach the September release date.

07/01/13 Monday Watchlist (2 hot stocks, 2 worthless stocks)

Market: $SPY is still consolidating from the Fed's sell-off as it tries to correct the overreaction from the Fed/stimulus news. Fundamentally, the market has not changed as the Fed will continue to pump $85 billion/month until the end of the year, which means we should expect more of the same: bear trap. So in this market we can: (1) buy and hold good/profitable stocks (esp earnings winners); and (2) short during market consolidation

LONG Watchlist

AAPL - I can write a chapter on why I think AAPL is due for a bounce about 380/400 support zone which can turn into a rebound/recovery towards 500, 600, etc... But I will keep it brief. Technical analysis 101 says you should dip-buy a stock at EMA's 20, 50 or 200 (as they are the most commonly used indicators) esp when the stock becomes oversold. AAPL is currently oversold on the daily chart and testing EMA 20/50/200 on the  quarterly/monthly/weekly charts, respectively. What this means, from a technical perspective, is that everyone who wants to dip-buy AAPL is doing it here at these 380/400 levels, so expect some heavy volume buying this week. Because AAPL found support at EMA50 to end the month of June, you can expect some shorts to cover and a technical bounce to at least as high as 415 (which is key resistance). AAPL is still one of the most well known companies in the world (formerly the most valued company worldwide), I doubt that it will crash thru 380/400 levels without a strong negative catalyst (perhaps earnings which is not until 7/22/13). As of now, AAPL is still fundamentally solid and has no reason to crash, therefore I firmly believe in the bounce. Because I am so confident in this bounce/potential rebound, I plan to buy more than $10-80k in call options contracts with mixed expiration dates (July13 Aug13 and Sep13). If I am right about the rebound, I plan to sell the contracts when the stock price is near 440 (the next key resistance) for as much as 10 times my money ($100-800k). If I am only right about the bounce to 415, I could still double or triple my money. This will be our biggest play yet, one that could change our lives. 

Risk/Rewards: We can't control the market but we can control our risk and rewards (r/r). The best r/r entry would be to enter the trade near 385, which is AAPL's 52wk low.

TTWO - These guys are the makers of Grand Theft Auto 5, which is one of the most anticipated games of the year. They are fundamentally solid, have nice chart pattern with high short interest (19% shares short). Over the last 3 weeks the stock has been hit hard after announcing its offering of $250mil convertible senior notes (which is essentially like a secondary offering, which are usually followed by a sell-off like we saw), but I believe its an overreaction as the stock still remains fundamentally unchanged. [Read this seeking alpha article and the first few comments for more background on the convertible senior notes]. So, we see this as a dip-buy opportunity esp as it finds support at EMA50/200 on the weekly/daily charts, respectively. This is potentially a long-term play (in anticipation of GTA 5 September release date) but our goal is to buy near 14.25 (which is key support) and sell for $2/share gain. Potential upside to 22 longterm.

Risk/Rewards: The best r/r entry would be near 14.08 which is the low from 4/18/13.

SHORT-sell Watchlist

NOR - This stock is completely worthless for many reasons: (1) its no longer profitable as it recently started losing money; (2) Morgan Stanley downgraded it last week; and (3) the chart is terribly bearish as it trades near its all-time lows of $3.15 (its currently trading at 3.23). There is key resistance near 3.25, which is best entry for solid r/r.

XIDEQ - this former pump has been crashing since forever and could crack big nxt week as it continued to fade into the close of the week near all-time lows as it closes at day low 0.127. Other's in my team nailed a partial short at 0.148 but I missed it because my order did not get filled at the same price. I expect it to drop to test 0.10 but it could keep dropping towards zero as it is likely a worthless stock. Potential short into a morning panic.

06/10/13 Monday Watchlist (8 stocks)

Market Season: Midrange

Swing Strategy: Big dip buy and hold (earnings winners only)

Current Sentiment:
Bullish consolidation. The market seems to have bottomed and slightly bullish. We may be in for more of the same as it tries to continue its breakout.

WATCHLIST

Call Option: These are all recent earnings winners that are set to breakout.

AEGR - is squeezing more shorts as it hangs about 74 for supp and is set to make another move esp if market continues bullishness. This is a potential buy as early as today
WAGE - is bottoming off ema50 and could rebound from here. shoulda bought calls at the ema50 but I will look for the 32 breakout instead.

Long Stock:
EAC - is behaving just as I called it, bottoming at 24 and spiking thru res in the 26s. Now it has no res til 28 then 30. I sold into the big run as i said i would. Still a potential rebuy when it patterns to b/o into new 52wk highs.
HNR - is an earnings winner that i'm watching. The chart is nothing to be excited about but it has 20% shares short which could squeeze into a rebound. I am only interested in a 4.0 b/o but I may scalp on the way.
IMMU - is a recent earnings winner that has been moving on momentum and could spike more in the short and medium term. It's a bit extended so I wouldn't be too quick to buy and hold as it could dip if it fails supp at 4, but there is key supp at 3.9.
RFIL - is a former earnings winner that I've been watching since earnings back in March. It has finally repatterned for another breakout move into all-time highs as early as this week. 7.1/7.2 is key res zone.

Short Stock:
BIOD - Is now down 70cents from my alert when it topped at 4.9. Under 4.3 key res, this has 50cents more potnetial dowside. I'm taking a risky o/n position short at 4.25 (just 400shares) as Monday's are known for PR/news, however without PR/new the rewards are pretty good.
NVTL - this stock is crap and spiking without news or any catalyst besides a slight earnings growth. This is mid-breakout so i wouldnt short too soon. It could spike as high as 5 before topping but is scalpable along the way on both the short and long side.. I am short-biased but will buy any perfect breakouts for scalps.

Abbreviations:

q2q- quarter-to-quarter

res - resistance

supp - support

b/o - breakout
scalp - to enter/exit a trade relatively quickly and for small gains.

6/7/13 Friday Watchlist (5 bull 2 bear stocks)

Market Season: Midrange

Swing Strategy: Big dip buy and hold (earnings winners only)

Current Sentiment:
Bearish consolidation. The market is currently bearish but is due for a correction/bottom soon. This is the best time to start looking for  dip buys but short any overextended spikes.

WATCHLIST

Call Option: These are all recent earnings winners that are set to breakout.

AEGR - is squeezing more shorts as it hangs between 70-73 supp zone and is set to make another move esp if market is bullish.
WAGE - is bottoming off ema50 and could rebound from here. shoulda bought calls at the ema50 but I will look for the 32 breakout instead.

Long Stock:
EAC - is behaving just as I called it, bottoming at 24 and spiking thru res in the 26s. Now it has no res til 28 then 30. I am still long 25.05 and plan to sell into the next big spike.
HNR - is an earnings winner that i'm watching. The chart is nothing to be excited about but it has 20% shares short which could squeeze into a rebound. I am only interested in a 4.0 b/o but I may scalp on the way.
IMMU - is a recent earnings winner that has been moving on momentum and could spike more in the short and medium term.

Short Stock:
BIOD - midday panicked more than 10%, which i covered into for 9% profits. Under 4.3 key res, this has 50cents more potnetial dowside.
VRML- is pretty beaten up. there is supp in the 2.5/2.25 key zone. Not sure how bouncy this will be but I would stay short-biased to every spike.

Abbreviations:

q2q- quarter-to-quarter

res - resistance

supp - support

b/o - breakout

6/06/13 Thursday Watchlist (5 stocks)

Market Season: Midrange

Swing Strategy: Big dip buy and hold (earnings winners only)

Current Sentiment:
Bearish consolidation. The market is currently bearish but is due for a correction/bottom soon. This is the best time to start looking for  dip buys but short any overextended spikes.

WATCHLIST

Call Option: These are all recent earnings winners that are set to breakout.

AEGR - is squeezing more shorts and set to make another move esp if market is bullish.

Long Stock:
EAC - former earnings winner that is down alot from its highs. its holding up and seems to want to bottom above key supp 24. if it can continue to hold 24 early week then we should see a nice squeeze late week. upside to retest key res near 28. key res zone about 26.
HNR - is an earnings winner that i'm watching. The chart is nothing to be excited about but it has 20% shares short which could squeeze into a rebound. I am only interested in a 4.0 b/o but I may scalp on the way.

Short Stock:
BIOD - midday panicked more than 10%, which i covered into for 9% profits. Under 4.3 key res, this has 50cents more potnetial dowside.

Abbreviations:

q2q- quarter-to-quarter

res - resistance

supp - support

b/o - breakout

06/04/13 Tuesday Watchlist (6 stocks)

Market Season: Midrange

Swing Strategy: Big dip buy and hold (earnings winners only)

Current Sentiment:
Bearish consolidation. The market is currently bearish. Be bearish.

WATCHLIST

Call Option: These are all recent earnings winners that are set to breakout.

AEGR - is squeezing more shorts and set to make another move esp if market is bullish in morning.
WAGE - is a big earnings winner that is mid-breakout consolidation but has been dropping. its sstill a potential breakout if it can consolidate just above its trend and bottom near 28.75/28.5 supp and correct to back above 30.

Long Stock:
EAC -former earnings winner that is down alot from its highs. its holding up and seems to want to bottom at key supp 24. if it can continue to hold 24 early week then we should see a nice squeeze. upside to retest key res near 28.
CLSN - this is a SA pump. it closed pretty well on Monday. 1.82 is key, upside to test 2 then 2.2

Short Stock:
BIOD - this is a former earnings loser that has continued to spike without news since the 5/10/13 analyst upgrade. Expect it to drop hard when it tops.  4.75/5 is key res zone. I nailed the mornign panic but it held up due to tehcnial bounces. It just needs to get a little extended so its potential short after a morning spike.
VRML - morning panicked and faded more than 16%. sick. but I traded BIOD instead for only 5% morning panic. This is still scalpable short if it fails morning spike under 3.7/3.75, downside to 3.3.

Abbreviations:

q2q- quarter-to-quarter

res - resistance

supp - support

b/o - breakout

06/03/13 Monday Watchlist (5 stocks)

Market Season: Midrange

Swing Strategy: Big dip buy and hold (earnings winners only)

Current Sentiment:
Bearish consolidation. The market is currently bearish. Be bearish.

WATCHLIST

Call Option: These are all recent earnings winners that are set to breakout.

WAGE - is a big earnings winner that is mid-breakout consolidation but has been dropping. its sstill a potential breakout if it can consolidate just above its trend and bottom near 28.75/28.5 supp and correct to back above 30.

Long Stock:
EAC -former earnings winner that is down alot from its highs. its holding up and seems to want to bottom at key supp 24. if it can continuy to hold 24 early week then we should see a nice squeeze. upside to retest key res near 28.
SBGL -  this is a momo play for Monday. i expect a morning move towards 3.9 which is key. 3.5 is key supp

Short Stock:
BIOD - this is a former earnings loser that has continued to spike without news since the 5/10/13 analyst upgrade. Expect it to drop hard when it tops.  4.75 is key res
VRML -is a former earnings loser spiking likely due to seeking alpha sympathy. i expect it to crash. 4.15/4.25 is key res zone.

Abbreviations:

q2q- quarter-to-quarter

res - resistance

supp - support

b/o - breakout

5/29/13 Tuesday Watchlist (5 hot stocks)

Market Season: Bull

Swing Strategy: Buy and Hold

Current Sentiment:
Bearish consolidation. The market seems to want to correct the sell-off as it tried to bottom into close on Friday. A green day on Tuesday would be great indication of a versal and possible breakout continuation. I will be slightly more bearish (for scalps) on Tuesday but will play according to the market sentiment (red vs. green).

WATCHLIST

Call Option: These are all recent earnings winners that are set to breakout.

WAGE - is holding up above 30 and just needs to close above 31.80 before the next breakout move.

AEGR - is holding above 60 but on lite vol. A bullish market could push it above 61.6 for a breakout move.

Long Stock:
HYGS - earnings breakout with upside to 13.5, swing. this is a potential buy on a big dip towards 9.5/9.75
EAC -former eanings winner that is down alot from its highs. it seems to want to bottom at key supp 24. potential buy as early as Tuesday if it can hold up above 24 into eod. upside to test 30, swing.
VUZI - held-up well above 6 on Friday. this is a potential buy early this week if it continues to hold 6. upside to 7.5 swing.

Abbreviations:

q2q- quarter-to-quarter

res - resistance

supp - support

b/o - breakout

5/20/13 Monday Watchlist (8 hot stocks)

Market Season: Bull

Swing Strategy: Buy and Hold

Current Sentiment:
Bullish. I expect $SPY to continue its breakout after consolidating over the past 2 trading days. I expect a green week starting with a green market day on Monday. Be bullish and only bearish to over-extended tops at key res.

WATCHLIST

Call Option: These are all recent earnings winners that are set to breakout.

WAGE - this is the biggest earnings winner on the list that is hitting all-time highs. I already bought both $30 and $35 June13 calls but will add to my position this week. The sky is the limit; I expect this to hold up above 30 and spike to test 35 as it reaches for new highs.
VIPS- is a big earnings winner failed its breakout on earnings day from the open. It seems to have bottomed as it closed the week with some strength. I expect a move towards 37. I will wait for confirmation that I can breakout 34 to buy some $40strike Jun13 calls. I wanna hit it big on this nice earnings win.

TTWO - i tried buying this earnings winner on a big dip after the earnings breakout fail but ended up getting stopped out. It seems to be bottoming now as it holds up above key supp at 16.2. This a potential buy Monday but confirmation is when it closes the day above key res at 16.6, from there it should see spike to test 17.4 key res before a possible multiday breakout run.

AEGR - is also hitting alltime highs. I would like to see it dip a little between 60 and 55 to buy some call options at cheaper price before a b/o continuation.

Short Sell Stock: 

RSOL - is spiking big due to this seeking alpha article in light of it reporting earnings with narrower losses q2q. While this is really an earnings winner, it spiked way too much too quickly into gross overextension and should pullback hard as weak hands sell-off espcially given it hardly has any short interest. Some res at 4.25 but i'd like to see it try for 4.75 before shorting it.
HTCH - this is a former earnings winner that has become overextended and could flush early this week for scalps. Key res is near 5.0 with 50-75cents of potential downside. Something at 4.5 but 4.3 is key supp.

Pumps and Dumps

XUII - is the only good pump that is shortable at Suretrader. I will buy a perfect breakout above 0.42. This has a bullish chart; in this market, I wouldn't short aggressively (look at LOTE and OCTX, both refuse to collapse) but will be prepared to short scalp any overextended tops.

TALK- i bought this at 1.06 as it seems to be bottoming. all it takes is a bullish market on Monday to squeeze shorts until it tests 1.14 which is key before testing for 1.25+

Abbreviations:

q2q- quarter-to-quarter

res - resistance

supp - support

b/o - breakout

04/19/13 Friday Watchlist (6 stocks)

Market: SPY has been taking a beating due to some earnings and other news but it is still trying to hold up to squeeze but its hard to tell if it will fail and turn to bear season, which I look forward to. It could be topping so I will be bearish until the signs are more clear.

Longs
ACUR - is spiking on drug news. I short this from overextension but couldnt find shares to short before the big crash. It has to bottom and shorts will cover. 2.57/2.67 is key supp zone so I will look for the bottom there. This could squeeze/bounce to retest 3.

Swing Plays
REFR - this is a free TimLongTerm pick. its a low float so it will move w/ Tim's following. should see 5s as early as this week. Waiting for a 4.40 intraday res b/o for entry. upsdie to 5.25 swing. But I may buy the dip at 4.04 key supp if it patterns properly. 4.1 4.3 and 4.5 are key levels. EMA200 (30min candle) is testing for supp at 4.04. if it continues to hold, i may buy going into the weekend.


Shorts
It's Friday so I wouldn't be short anything going into late afternoon (2-2:30p) or over the weekend.

HIMX - i nailed this trade by following the plan as described in my watchlist. Potential short after a failed spikes towards 5.95/6 key res. 5.75 is important supp


SNSS - is an ill-financial stock i've shorted many times as it cracked and faded. 5.03/5.0 is key supp zone. its a short under this zone. 25cents of potential downside if it morning panics.

UVXY - this stock is a fading stock that is full of hype and momo. I will look to scalp this on the short side as it has a good volatility. 8.76 is key res, 8.3

NQ - this is a former earnings winner that is still fading as it consolidates. its faded under EMA50 and 8.09 key supp going into the close yesterday. Potential short only if it morning panics, but be prepared to cover quickly. 25-50cents of downside.

Momo

Follow me on stocktwits (@sickledsystems).

Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
r/g = red to green
g/r = green to red
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support

04/18/13 Thursday Watchlist (5 stocks)

Market: SPY has been taking a beating due to some earnings and other news but it is still trying to hold up to squeeze into another breakout as it shows signs of a bottom (big vol and positive rsi divergence). It is still bearish but if it continues to squeeze it could go bullish again towards eod or tomorrow. So I would be slightly bullish and looking to buy some dips (like REFR and SVA) to buy and hold.

Longs
ACUR - is spiking on drug news. I short this from overextension but couldnt find shares to short before the big crash. It has to bottom and shorts will cover. 2.57/2.67 is key supp zone so I will look for the bottom there. This could squeeze/bounce to retest 3.

Swing Plays
REFR - this is a free TimLongTerm pick. its a low float so it will move w/ Tim's following. should see 5s as early as this week. Waiting for a 4.40 intraday res b/o for entry. upsdie to 5.25 swing. But I may buy the dip at 4.04 key supp if it patterns properly.

NQ - recent earnings winner that is bottoming at 8/8.1 key supp. I am watching it pattern under 8.77 (intraday res) for a technical breakout entry to swing from. upside to 10.7 swing.

SVA - this is a bird flu sympathy play I called at 3.83 before it spiking to 4.40. I screwed this trade up by trying to daytrade it rather than buying at key supp (either 3.83 or 4.08) and swinging it. Sometimes you just gotta buy ahead of the action and wait patiently as some of these stocks like SVA spike too quickly to try to buy. this is still a buy, i shoulda took some shares into the close but i may try to catch a dip near 4.08


Shorts
HIMX - is testing key res at 6.25. this is a potential short on a g/r move. 30cents of downside potential

Momo

Follow me on stocktwits (@sickledsystems).

Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
r/g = red to green
g/r = green to red
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support

04/15/13 Monday Watchlist (6 hot stocks)

Market: SPY is breaking out! I will not be shorting aggressively. This is the time to buy on big dips and hold.


Longs
RAD (im long 2.18) - I rebought at 2.25 just before a small midday perk-up. its holding up as it consolidates. I am hopping for a morning spike or gap-up/spike to sell into.

BIOL - is still breaking out but consolidating. I would like to see a big dip to 4.9 to rebuy. still has potential upside to 5.7

Swing Plays
REFR - this is a free TimLongTerm pick. its a low float so it will move w/ Tim's following. should see 5s as early as this week. Waiting for a 4.40 intraday res b/o for entry. upsdie to 5.25 swing.

NQ - recent earnings winner that is bottoming at 8.1 key supp. I am watching it pattern under 8.77 (intraday res) for a technical breakout entry to swing from. upside to 10.7 swing.

SVA - this is a bird flu sympathy play. It is patterning nicely and could spike thru 3.85 key res soon. upside to mid 4s. I'd like to see it close the day above 4.08 before buying it. but I may buy a perfect breakout if it patterns under 4.08. upside to 4.5 swing.


Shorts
HIMX - faded under much probable res. potential short on a failed morning spike under 5.95/6 key res zone. I wouldnt hold short for long in this market. if it morning panics, i would cover quickly. downside to 5.4/5.5

Momo

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Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support

04/12/13 Friday Watchlist (9 hot stocks)

Market: SPY is breaking out! I will not be shorting aggressively. This is the time to buy on big dips and hold.


Longs

AMRS (im long 3.05)- i bought this into the close for a gap-up and i was right as it is already up 7cents in premarket.

RAD (im long 2.18) - big earnings with consistent q2q eps growth. brokeout 2.05 whcih woulda been good entry as i called in my watch list. I bought this premarket following the upgrade w/ a $3 pt

BIOL (im long 5.05)- bought this into the close as well for a gap-up, and so far its gapped up 7cents in premarket. key levels are 4.85 and 5.75

SVA - this is a bird flu sympathy play. It is patterning nicely and could spike thru 3.85 key res soon. upside to mid 4s.

REFR - this is a free TimLongTerm pick. its a low float so it will move w/ Tim's following. should see 5s by next week.

Shorts
It's Friday so I wouldn't be short in the late afternoon.

ROYL - just signed a $44mil deal with an unnamed company but its not official. the chart is very bearish so I will be looking for vol to continue to dry before shorting this. it could morning panic but i'd like to see it spike first. 3 and 3.7 are key.

HIMX - is consolidating. I'd like to see it spike into overextension before shorting it. Pential short when the next spike tops.

PAMT - is fading gradually after the bounce following the crackage thru key supp at 16. it cracked intraday supp at 16.9 and started fading gradually against the bull market. I am now more interested in it breaking down key supp at 16 today as the market is red today.

MCOX - is testing 5.75 just as I anticipated. its building support under 5.75 so it could run further if it can break 5.75. 6.35 and 7.25 are also key. potential short under 5.75 when it cracks big.

Momo

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Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support

04/11/13 Thurs Watchlist (6 hot stocks)

Market: SPY is breaking out! I will not be shorting aggressively.

Longs
ROYL - just received a big $45mil order, which is more than its market cap. not the greatest pattern to buy but its breaking out with no key res until 3.75. It's already a abit extended so I'll wait for a dip to buy b/w 3-3.25

AMRS - just announced a breakthrough drug development for malaria. 3.0 and 3.8 are key levels. 3.25 is also important.

RAD - big earnings with consistent q2q eps growth. I am watching for a 2.05 key res breakout.

Shorts

HIMX - is consolidating. I'd like to see it spike into overextension before shorting it. Pential short when the next spike tops.

PAMT - is fading gradually after the bounce following the crackage thru key supp at 16. Potential short under 16.9 which is intradday supp.

MCOX - is testing 5.75 just as I anticipated. its building support under 5.75 so it could run further if it can break 5.75. 6.35 and 7.25 are also key.

Momo

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Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support

04/09/13 Tuesday Watchlist (5 stocks)

Market: SPY is still middrange as it consolidates. Could go either way at these levels. it will make big moves either way.

Longs
CALL - recent big earnings winner w/ very high short interest (49% of shares short, 10 dtc). this just needs momo to breakout 16. 16.25 and 16.7 are key res.

HIMX - I am short-biased on this stock but its gapping premarket into all time highs. this is a potnetial buy above key supp 5.95 if it holds, could run for multiple days. its always a potential short when it tops at natural res like 6.0 6.25 6.5 etc..

Shorts
AMRI (short 9.62)- this is a former earnings winner that is topping. I shorted out of technical speculation for scalping purposes. This stock has a history of crack big even during consolidation. I shorted under key res 9.67 (so my stop is tight) and plan to cover into a morning panic. It could drop $1

MCOX - potential short under 5.0, downside to 3.5

PAMT - is topping just as I anticipated and glad I nailed my 19.67 short although I should reshorted the bounce. This a potential short under 18.25 with downside to 14/15.

Momo

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Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support

04/08/13 Monday Watchlist (9 stocks)

Market: SPY was quite bearish ending last week but seems to be holding up to squeeze again. If this next squeeze if successful it could breakout into new highs. I am still slightly bearish but am prepared to buy breakouts.

Longs

CHCI (long 2.56)- I bought this into the close for a gap-up/morning spike. I don't plan to hold this for long. I will sell into next top, which could be 2.75 or 3.

BCRX - this is gapping up premarket on bird flu fears in China. potential short if it fails to gap and spike thru 2.04 key res. this is could run further than you think, so I'm only scalping. May buy any big squeezes (i.e. thur 2.04 w/ upside to test 2.3)

AMRN - just announced good drug news. this news can run further than you think (see ANAC). potential buy if it can break 7.75 to trigger a technical breakout to test 8.5 key res.

SVA - is on the cusp of a breakout. 4.08 is key res it needs to breakout/gap-up. 4.25 & 4.5 are key check points.

OCLS - just did a reverse stock split as it runs up on patent news.  this is eventually a potential short (i'm acutually more short biased on this stock). Potential buy if it can continue to build momo as it tests 4. upside to test 4.30 then 4.55

Shorts
MCOX - I bought this breakout twice and nailed it. This seems to be spiking due to the company's $10mil buy back plan . Not sure how far it will spike but its def a potential short as weak hands take profits. It's mid breakout as it tests 5 but could spike to test 5.75 key res if it morning spikes.

PAMT - this could top and crack soon. Potentail short when the next spike tops. 19.9/20 is intraday res zone. Plenty of downside when it tops.

Momo

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Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum

pt = price target

res = resistance
supp = support

04/05/13 Friday Watchlist

Market: SPY is very bearish as it tanks due to lesser than expected job report. This is dangerous as the market is mid-breakout and could fail into a crash if it fails trendline supp in the mid 154s. I will remain bearish in this market and only buying momomentum breakouts.


Shorts

MCOX - I bought this breakout twice and nailed it. This seems to be spiking due to the company's $10mil buy back plan . Not sure how far it will spike but its def a potential short as weak hands take profits. It's mid breakout as it tests 5 but could spike to test 5.75 key res if it morning spikes.

HIMX - is fading. potential short if 5.20 intraday supp cracks on 30min candle.

AAMRQ - Potential short under intraday res zone 3.6/3.7. potential downside to 3

Momo

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Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum

pt = price target

res = resistance
supp = support

04/02/13 Tuesday Watchlist (3 stocks)

Market: SPY is still trying to squeeze shorts as it continues to consolidate. It could go either way but odds favor more bullishness. Still, I will play according to market sentiment (red vs. green). But I am short biased as we approach the end of bull season.

Longs :

GEVO. watching 2.2/2.25 for momo.

Shorts

ANAC -I am short 500 shares at 6.38 after locking in $70 in profits so far. I plan to cover into a morning panic. May add on a failed morning spike.

HIMX - i nailed this short for 30cents yesterday. potential reshort once it breaks and patterns under ema50 on 30min candle chart.

Momo

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Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum

pt = price target

res = resistance
supp = support

03/26/13 Tuesday Watchlist

Market: SPY is still in bullish consolidation. its midrange so im playing the market sentiment (red/green short/long)

Longs : Pump are heating up so I will be focused on them a little more.

RFIL - watching 6.5 and 7.25 (all time high) for breakout

CCUR - this NIA pump is heating up. its testing 7.85/8. big upside when it breaks out. no play until vol accumulation. watching above 7.85 for momo.

GOFF - this a potential buy today as it hits new highs. Could be a great breaking in a bull market. watching 0.4 for b/o entry. I bought at a good position 0.38 but sold for a penny to follow my buy on green short on red rule. but this stock has only natural res over head w/ plenty of upside

REVI - no play until 0.17 breakout

GEVO. I sold at 2.18 when 2.21 couldnt hold. 2.37 is confirmation. this is not a bullish pattern but it has momo. watching 2.03 for momo.

Shorts
ANAC -is ever-extended but holding up. i covered becasue it was still holding up thru 6.5 into the close although vol is drying. no play until it starts cracking thru 6.5

Momo

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Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum

pt = price target

res = resistance
supp = support

03/25/13 Monday Watchlist

Market: SPY is still in bullish consolidation. Its Friday, staying bullish.


Longs : Pump are heating up so I will be focused on them a little more.

GEVO (im long 2.22). 2.25 is entry point. if vol supports 2.21. upside to 2.59 to test. 2.37 is confirmation
CCUR - this NIA pump is heating up. its testing 7.85/8. big upside when it breaks out. no play until vol accumulation.
GOFF - this a potential buy today as it hits new highs. Could be a great breaking in a bull market. watching 0.4 for b/o entry
REVI - shoulda coulda woulda bought into the close at 0.10 on Thursday for the gap-up/spike Friday morning. I shoulda played this one instead 0.17 b/o.
NQ - held up well above 9.34. now im more interested in the 10.0 b/o for entry. upside to 10.75 key res to test

Shorts
ANAC - is quite overextended on the drug news. I scalped this for 40cents on Friday. I'd like to see a day 2 squeeze/spike to short into if it fails to break 6.5
CZR- is looking toppy but has ema supp. it could morning panic. but could squeueze otherwise. play the market sentiment (red/green). downside to 15.5 to test.

Momo

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03/22/13 Friday Watchlist

Market: SPY is still in bullish consolidation. Its Friday, staying bullish.

Longs
GEVO the hottest stock to watch imo. 2.25 is entry point. if vol supports 2.21. upside to 2.59 to test. 2.37 is confirmation
ENPH is a big momentum stock. watching 5.85 dip buy or 6 for breakout on a red/green move
CCUR - this NIA pump is heating up. its testing 7.85/8. big upside when it breaks out.
AMRI - holding above 9.7 key supp. if market spikes could squeeze big. upside to 11 for scalp. potential short until it b/o 10.9/11.1
ANAC- momo play. potential buy if it can hold supp at 5.32. Upside to 6. im always short bias on this stock, potential short eventually.
NQ - watch 9.34 for gap-up or for vol accumulation

Shorts
CZR- is looking toppy but has ema supp. if it could morning panic. but could squeueze otherwise. play the market sentiment (red/green).

Momo

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03/21/13 Thursday Watchlist

Market: SPY could still go either way at these levels. Its a matter of bears vs. bear trap. But current price action is still bullish.

WATCHLIST

My strategy is mostly daytrading and short-selling but in this market I will buy good set-ups for day- or swing trade only in a bull market. Play the market according to its sentiment (red/green), be bearish on red and bullish on green.

Long Watch:  Lots of good set-ups for today and Friday

ENPH - I sold this on Tuesday when the market was red but did not trade on yesterday's bull market and missed my reentry. Sometimes you just gotta be patient in this bull market. It is finally well above 5.85 and testing 6. Potential buy above 5.85 key supp. We should see 6.7 soon.

GEVO - is a former earnings winner/growth stock that just won an patent infringement case. This stock is due for a rebound and finally has the vol to push forward. I called the gap and crap following the a/h PR. 2.03 is key supp but 2.21/2.25 is the breakout of interest.

MERU - is trying to find supp at 6.3 as it consolidates above it. Potential buy in green market.
test key res at 7.3/7.4

AMRI - seems to want more as it's holding up above 9.67 as it consolidates from the predictable big cracked I shorted. Potential buy above 9.67 upside to retest 10.9/11.1 res zone.

NQ - is testing under 9.34 key res. Potential buy on the breakout, upside to test 10.75 key res. upside to

Longs On Alert

PGNX - is a little extended as it tests under 5 key res. Potentials buy when it b/o 5.03. upside to test 5.5 key res. 5.5/5.7 is key res zone. big upside when it breakouts thru this zone.
KWK - has consolidated/faded to retest 2.4/2.5 key supp where it should find supp. Potential buy when it patterns to b/o 2.68 key res.

DRL - just reported eps 0.20 while its trading under a dollar. ridiculously cheap. not sure if this has bottomed at 0.64 as I anticipated or if it wants lower. Too midrange now to do anything. let it pattern first.

BIOL- is still holding well above 4.04 supp but is midrange. It still has potential upside to restest 4.9 key res. No play until it repatterns

REVI (The Bull Exchange pump) and GOFF (Awesome Penny Stocks pump) - GOFF is still patterning. I am watching REVI for a potentail dip buy here at 0.10 prob supp.

Short Watch:

FNMA/FMCC - have both spiked too much. Potential short if they top at 1.18/1.25 key res zone.

UNXL (over-extended)- is still trapping shorts as it hits new highs again. This could drop 30% or more when it tops. No play until a big crack.
CZR (ill-financial)- is still testing 17.9/18 key res. It's still toppy but could go either way as the market is still bullish. Potential short under 17.9 in a bearish market. I expect this to drop 30% or more from its highs once it tops.
GV (over-extended)- is still trapping shorts as it hits new highs again. these breakouts outs are potential scalps but I prefer to buy good stocks that are breakingout over crap stocks.

Momo Plays
Follow me on stocktwits (@sickledsystems) for intradday momomentum plays, which I usually find on Finviz.com

03/19/2013 Tuesday Watchlist

Market: SPY could go either way at these levels. Its a matter of bears vs. bear trap.

WATCHLIST

My strategy is mostly daytrading and short-selling but in this market I will buy good set-ups for day- or swing trade only in a bull market. Play the market according to its sentiment (red/green), be bearish on red and bullish on green.

Long Watch:

ENPH (earnings winner, i'm long 5.65) - consolidated w/ the market but is holding above 5.5 key supp. If market stays bullish I plan to sell into the next big spike towards 6.7 key res test. Im selling if market goes bearish.

KWK (earnings winner) - consolidated w/ the red market. I sold as you never know if it will hold up. Its still holding about 2.68 supp. Potential buy.

PGNX (earnings winner) - morning spiked as expected but only to consolidate midday w/ the red market. Its still holding above 4.35 supp. Potential buy.

Longs On Alert

RFIL (earnings winner) - seems to have dip buy supp but as I said it has low short interest so I wouldn't buy this midrange, only at key supp 5.7 or 6.5 b/o.

DRL (earnings winner) - just reported eps 0.20 while its trading under a dollar. ridiculously cheap. not sure if this has bottomed at 0.64 as I anticipated or if it wants lower. Too midrange now to do anything. let it pattern first.

REVI (The Bull Exchange pump) and GOFF (Awesome Penny Stocks pump) - these are pumps by top tier promoters. Their pumps tend to hold up and spike for several days/weeks esp in a bull market. I plan to buy these on a big dip when they patterns. These plays are how you bank 20-50% on a single trade.

Short Watch:

UNXL (over-extended)- this stock has seen way too much growth in just a few months. this is mostly hype and momo, in other words there are alot of weak hands holding this stock. Potential short if it tops here in the 27.5/29 range. This could drop 30% or more when it tops.

CZR (ill-financial)- this stock is complete crap but is spiking on hype around new online gambling laws. I expect this to drop 30% or more from its highs once it tops. Key res zone at 17/18.

GV (over-extended)- seems to be topping. potential short soon especially when it cracks 4.38 key supp. downside to 3.9/4 to test. Im also watching 4.8 for a top if it spikes more.

OWW (over-extended)- this is another entertainment stock spiking w/ the sector. it was a former earnings loser and deserves to drop back to the 4s. 5.8/5.7 is key res zone. 5 is support. 6.5 is also key res in case it squeezes more shorts in a bull market.

Momo Plays
Follow me on stocktwits (@sickledsystems) for momomentum plays, which I usually find on Finviz.com

03/18/13 Monday Watchlist (10 stocks)

Market: The market is still bullish as it seems to be holding up against the negative consumer sentiment. Still be bullish but bearish to over-extensions.

WATCHLIST

My strategy is mostly daytrading and short-selling but in this market I will buy good set-ups for day- or swing trade only in a bull market. Today is Friday so I will be more bullish today.

Long Watch:

ENPH (earnings winner, i'm long 5.65) - this is spiking w/ momo. i bought this just above 5.5 key supp. i plan to sell into the next big spike towards 6.7 key res to test.

KWK (earnings winner, long 2.73 avg) - this is clearly breakingout. 2.68 and 3.09 are key. I bought 2.68 revival eod after midday consolidation just before the high vol run-up into the close. I plan to sell into the next spike towards 3.09 res.

PGNX (earnings winner) - is breaking out on big earnings win. I tried buying the 4.35 b/o but sold as vol faded midday and it didn't run into the close. Potential buy as it could still gap or morning spike on Monday once it finds supp at 4.35. Upside to test 5.

RFIL (earnings winner) - has low short interest so I wouldn't buy this midrange, only at key supp 5.7 or 6.5 b/o.

DRL (earnings winner) - just reported eps 0.20 while its trading under a dollar. ridiculously cheap. I expect alot of big time dip buying (meaning vol accumulation). No play until it bottoms between 0.62/0.66. upside to a dollar, short-term.

Short Watch:

MTG (over-extended, short 4.96)- has been hanging about 5 thanks to dip buyers but is still failing it w/ fading vol. This should drop 50cents or more soon. I'm waiting for 4.90 to crack.

GV (over-extended)- seems to be topping. potential short soon especially when it cracks 4.38 key supp. downside to 3.9/4 to test.

BWEN (ill-financial)- this stock is also crap. Energy is hot its been trapping shorts, who are responsible for it spiking this much. Don't be aggressive. Potential short soon. 6.2, 5.2 and 4.7 are key levels to watch.

CZR (ill-financial)- this stock is complete crap but is spiking on hype around new gambling laws. I expect this to drop 30% or more from its highs once it tops. Key res zone at 17/18.

OWW (over-extended)- this is another entertainment stock spiking w/ the sector. it was a former earnings loser and deserves to drop back to the 4s. 5.8/5.7 is key res zone. 5 is support.

LESSON: How I shorted AMRI top and nailed the morning panic!

Four (4) indications of the AMRI probable top:
1) Overextended from $8 on the weekly chart
2) Crackage after failing 10.9/11.1 key res zone test
3) Volume fade following the initial crack is a sign of fear
4) First red day

03/15/13 Friday Watchlist (7 hot stocks)

Market: The market is still bullish. Be bullish but bearish to over-extensions.

WATCHLIST

My strategy is mostly daytrading and short-selling but in this market I will buy good set-ups for day- or swing trade only in a bull market. Today is Friday so I will be more bullish today.

Long Watch:

ENPH (earnings winner, i'm long 5.65) - this is spiking w/ momo. i bought this just above 5.5 key supp. i plan to sell into the next big spike towards 6.7 key res to test.

KWK (earnings winner) - this is clearly breakingout. 2.68 and 3.09 are key. I want to buy on a dip/during consolidation above supp and sell into a spike.

RFIL (earnings winner) - has low short interest so I wouldn't buy this midrange, only at key supp 5.7. upside to key res at 6.5

BIOL (earnings winner) - this is hanging just under key res at 4. if its gonna do anything it'll be tomorrow on a Friday squeeze. no play if it doesnt breakout tomorrow. upside to 4.8

DRL (earnings winner) - just reported eps 0.20 while its trading under a dollar. ridiculously cheap. I expect alot of big time dip buying (meaning vol accumulation). No play until it bottoms between 0.62/0.66. upside to 1 short-term.

Short Watch:


AMRI (over-extended, im short 10.68) - I covered my 10.85 short too soon but got back in when it failed r/g test. I plan to cover into a morning panic quickly.

MTG (over-extended)- has been hanging about 5 thanks to dip buyers but is finally failing it. This should drop 50cents or more soon. I'm waiting for 4.90 to crack.

03/13/13 Wednesday Watchlist (10 stocks)

Market: The market is breakingout into new highs. The retail sales data was release today and premarket gains seems to reflect that the market feels good about this data. So be prepared for more bullishness.

WATCHLIST

My strategy is mostly daytrading and short-selling but in this market I will buy good set-ups for day- or swing trade only in a bull market. Today is Friday so I will be more bullish today.

Long Watch:

RFIL (earnings winner, im long 6.13) - big earnings winner that shows q2q eps growth. i bought the dip when it went r/g w/ vol. I will hold to see if it will pattern to b/o 6.5.

AMRI (earnings winner, im long 9.85) - brokeout 10 as expected and pushed to test 11 just as i called it. it seems to want more as it tests res zone. I bought for a possible gap-up/morning spike. Upside to 12's if it can breakout 11.1

IMMR (Samsung deal) - this still is breaking out on a big deal w/ Samsung as it still has vol. It has upside to 10.3 which it could breakout. potential buy into a big spike thru 10.3

NQ (earnings winner) - this is bottoming at 9.3 as I called it. upside to 10+. Potential buy on next pullsback above 9.3.

ENPH (earnings winner) - this is spiking w/ momo. potnetial buy when it spikes thru 6. upside to test 6.7

MERU (earnings winner) - earning winner. upside to 6.3 res, 5.25 is supp.


Short Watch:

MTG (over-extended)- it's still holding up w/ vol. potential short when 4.90 gives as vol fades.

BWEN (ill-financial)- spiked more towards 4.7 res as I wanted. Potential short when it tops/cracks under 4.7

CALI (seeking alpha hype)- fading. potential short. plenty of potential downside

BVSN (technical spike) - fading. potential short. supp at 9.8 which could crack

03/12/13 Tuesday Watchlist (13 stocks)

Market: The market is breakingout into new highs as it anticipates the Retial Sales reports next week. If the sales are good, the market will boom like ever before, if not then it could top sooner. Until the report, be bullish and bearish to over-extensions. But since the market has been green 7 days in a row, so be prepared for some consolidation for shorting.

WATCHLIST

My strategy is mostly daytrading and short-selling but in this market I will buy good set-ups for day- or swing trade only in a bull market. Today is Friday so I will be more bullish today.


Short Watch:

GV (overextended)- this stock is breaking out into new highs w/o news and usually get overextended quickly. This is a great short when it tops. Could top at any natural res 5.0, 5.25, 5.5 etc..

BWEN (ill-financial)- still holding up over 3.90 supp and spiked as desired. Ideally I'd like to see it spike to retest key res 4.70 to short a probable top.

CALI (seeking alpha hype)- spiking on a SA article. Potential short soon. watching 5.66 res and 4.92 supp.

BVSN (technical spike) - big squeeze on Monday. Potential short under 10.50

SNSS (ill-financial)- I shorted this stock yesterday at 5.84 and covered at 5.37 but I ddidnt post the trade since it wasnt on the watchlist. This is a potential multiday fader but I'm more interested in its earnings on 3/13/13 as it could miss another eranings and become an even better short. EPS less than -0.30 is what i'd like to see them report.

Long Watch:

IMMR (Samsung deal, I'm long 9.72) - this still is breaking out on a big deal w/ Samsung as it still has vol. It has upside to 10.3 so plan to sell into the next spike. tight stop as always

MERU (earnings winner) - earning winner. i bought the b/o at 5 and sold too sold. potential buy on the dip at. 5.27 is key.

RFIL (earnings winner) - big earnings winner that shows q2q eps growth. Potential buy when it patterns to b/o 6.52 key res (also all time high pivot).

XIN (earnings winner) - Earnings winner. Seems to be bottoming. Im watching 4.85 key supp for dip buy entry. or 5.14 intradday pivot for breakout.


AMRI (earnings winner) - brokeout 10 as expected and pushed to 10.5. potential buy as this could mroning spike.

BIOL (earnings winner)- I am watching 3.92/4.07 supp zone for bottom but am really only interested in the 4.90 breakout when it patterns.


AAMRQ (airline deal)- I bought the gap-up on Friday at 3.0 and sold into a spike yesterday 3.26. Take safe profits. Potential buy on a big dip.

03/11/13 Monday Watchlist (11 stocks)

Market: The market is breakingout into new highs as it anticipates the Retial Sales reports next week. If the sales are good, the market will boom like ever before, if not then it could top sooner. Until the report, be bullish and bearish to over-extensions. But since the market has been green 6 days in a row, you can expect today to be red.

WATCHLIST

My strategy is mostly daytrading and short-selling but I will buy good set-ups for day- or swing trade only in a bull market. Today is Friday so I will be more bullish today.


Short Watch:

MTG (overextended, i'm short 4.92)- this stock is one of most over-extended on the market. it started cracking supp on Friday and could possibly morning panic, which is why I shorted premarket.

ASTX (overextended) - potential short on the next spike. Looking for top near 4.6/4.9 res zone. If it holds above 4.6, vol must fade.

HIMX (seeking alpha hype)- is up on a Seeking Alpha article. 4.69 is key res.

BWEN (ill-financial)- still holding up over 3.90 supp. potential short when 3.90 cracks, ideally after a spike.



Long Watch:

AAMRQ (airline deal, i'm long 3.0)- I bought the gap-up on Friday but it seems overextended as vol is fading a bit. It may need to dip so I may sell at the open for profits and rebuy later when it repatterns

IMMR (Samsung deal) - this still is breaking out on a big deal w/ Samsung. Potential bought if it can morning spike. It has one more neg in it but I wouldnt hold too long as it is a bit over-extended. Upside to 10.3

AMRI (earnings winner) - potential buy if it can breakout and run from 10.0. Upside to 11

XIN (earnings winner) - Earnings winner. Im watching 4.85 key supp for dip buy entry. or 5.14 intradday pivot for breakout.

BIOL (earnings winner)- I am watching 4.07 for bottom but am really only interested in the 4.90 breakout when it patterns.

MERU (earnings winner) - earning winner. no play until it breakout 5.0 key res.

GEVO - earnings winner that has momentum to rebound. watching 2.05 for momo but no play until 2.21 key res breakout.

3/08/13 Friday Watchlist (12 stocks)

Market: The market is breakingout into new highs. Be bullish and bearish to over-extensions.

WATCHLIST

My strategy is mostly daytrading and short-selling but I will buy good set-ups for day- or swing trade only in a bull market. Today is Friday so I will be more bullish today.


Long Watch:


AMRI (i'm long 9.75) - is a big earnings winner who reported eps of 0.17 which is big growth from previous quarters. i bought again at 9.75 just above 9.67 key supp. I plan to sell into the next spike. tight stop.

XIN - Earnings winner. Im watching 4.85 key supp for dip buy entry. or 5.14 intradday pivot for breakout.

BIOL - earnings winner w/ amazing chart. No play until it can b/o 4.90 key res.

MERU - earning winner. no play until it breakout 5.0 key res.

GEVO - earnings winner that has momentum to rebound. no play until 2.21 key res breakout.

AAMRQ - I am watching this for a breakout into all-time highs. 2.97 pivot and 3.0 is clear b/o. Vol is still a little weak so I am just watching until vol comes.

Short Watch:

MBLX - starting to top. could morning panic just under 2.37 key res. On watch for morning panic

CMGE - sketchy chinese stock. seeming to be topping just under natural res at 9. On watch for morning panic.

MTG - this stock is one of most over-extended on the market. potential short when EMA50 gives on 30min candle.

HIMX - is up on a Seeking Alpha article. potnetial short soon

BWEN - still holding up over 3.90 supp. potential short when 3.90 cracks.

ANAC - is squeezing. potential short when it tops. 4.07 is key res

03/06/13 Wednesday Watchlist (9 stocks)

Market: The market is breakingout into all-time highs (Dow Jones broke all-time record). Not sure how long it will run for but be bullish. I will only short hype/over-extensions and buy perfect breakouts.

WATCHLIST

My strategy is mostly daytrading and short-selling but I will buy good set-ups for day- or swing trade only in a bull market.

Short Watch:

HIMX - is up on a Seeking Alpha article. I shorted it as it crack and covered for safe gains. It has vol and could spike, potential reshort if it does. Also potential short if it gaps down and spikes.

BWEN - started cracking yesterday but i missed my entry. potential short when it bounces or if it keeps fading.

ANAC - kept fading on Tuesday. still hoping for a bounce to short.

CMGE - sketchy chinese stock. spiked more on Tuesday and could keep running. potential short when it starts cracking ema supp.

MBLX - still spiking on no news. this is a squeeze machine so I wouldn't short aggressively. Potential short when it cracks ema supp.

MTG, CERS, and DYAX - are all over-extended stocks i'm watching for scalp. MTG is the most over-extended. potential short when cracks big thru supp.

Long Watch:

AMRI (earnings winner) - is a big earnings winner who reported eps of 0.17 which is big growth from previous quarters. i bought and sold for safe profits when it couldn't push to b/o 9 as vol faded. Needs to dip.Potential buy when it b/o 9

03/05/13 Tuesday Watchlist

Market: $SPY is breakingout pm which means it could pullback to consolidate at the open. So be prepared to short at open.

WATCHLIST

My strategy is mostly daytrading and short-selling but I will buy good set-ups for day- or swing trade only in a bull market.

Short Watch:

ANAC - great short when over-extended. potential reshort if it spikes. this is drug news stock so don't be aggressive.

BWEN - ill-financial and spiking. potential short soon when it cracks supp on 30min candle..

CMGE - sketchy chinese stock. potential short when it starts cracking. would like to see a spike first.

CSIQ (ill-financial) - fading. no play til it spikes.

Long Watch:

AMRI (earnings winner) - is a big earnings winner who reported eps of 0.17 which is big growth from previous quarters. potential buy when it breaks into new high on 30min candle chart. Upside to test 9.

03/01/13 Friday Watchlist

Market: $SPY rebounded w/ strength, perhaps a correction to be previous long red candle. Who knows, but as always play the sentiment (red/green).

WATCHLIST

My strategy is mostly daytrading and short-selling but I will buy good set-ups for day- or swing trade only in a bull market.

Short Watch:

HOV (ill-financial) - I screwed up my 6.10 short as i let myself get squeezed thru 6.12 as it was still testing it. I had a good position but covered at the top. Sucks. Patience and discipline pays. TIP: let the candlestick close its time interval. don't anticipate the candlestick, let it happen. Potential short on a failed morning spike to test res at 5.9.

LCAV (ill-financial) - potential short when key supp 2.85 cracks. this will fade w/ weak bounces. A great short when it starts cracking supp. crap stock. 2.8/2.85 is supp zone.

EJ (ill-financial) - faded more on Wednesday. potential short when key supp at 4.25 cracks.

AAMRQ (over-extended) - vol is fading bad so it could start fading thru supp. potential short when it takes out intraday supp at 2.47.

RSOL (ill-financial) - this stock is worthless and has low short-interest. it continued to fade to test near 1.78 hitting 1.82 day low just as I called it last week when I shorted at 2.29. Patience pays with these perfect set-ups.

CSIQ (ill-financial) - not moving much given the news which i scalped for some change. this is a potential short b/c this stock is crap. potential short on any decent spikes.

RNIN - this is moving on big news. Its the hottest stock on the market which means it will get over-extended quickly. and its a low float. potential short eventually as it gets over-extended. short only on red market days and only when its over-extended. No play yet

Long Watch:
The market looks red today so I don't plan to buy or hold if it stays red.

PAMT (momo stock, I'm long 11.73) - this is from TimAlerts. It has great chart and alot of hype sepculating around its deal w/ big names like MCD as PR is expected. This could breakout in anticipation of news. Waiting for a clean breakout thru 11.5

NEON (momo stock) - this is from TimAlerts watchlsit. It has good technical chart and lots of vol on all time frames. This is set to breakout soon. watching it pattern for a clean b/o thru 5.75

CCUR (promo stock) - dip buying seems to have begun. this is a potential buy when it b/o 8/8.16 res zone


Swing Watch:
While I believe these stocks will recover nicely, it is tricky to buy in this market. I would wait until the market starts to bottom before entering above supp/res.

JVA (rebound) - I'm a sucka for this stock for 3 reasons: (1) solid financial growth/undervalued; (2) lots of shorts; (3) great chart. No play yet let it pattern w.r.t the market. Im watching 7.32 and 7.5

GEVO (rebound) - is recovering given the eps growth and the vol. No play yet, let it pattern. I'm watching it pattern about key level

02/28/13 Thursday Watchlist (14 stocks)

Market: $SPY rebounded w/ strength, perhaps a correction to be previous long red candle. Who knows, but as always play the sentiment (red/green).

WATCHLIST

My strategy is mostly daytrading and short-selling but I will buy good set-ups for day- or swing trade.

Short Watch:

HOV (ill-financial, im short 6.10) - Spiked abit more but could not break thru 6.12 res which its still testing. I shorted at 6.10 for position as it started to breakdown some supp levels. This could still push if house market keeps spiking, but its a def short if it spikes again. However, as i said Earnings is on 3/6/13 so I wouldn't short it if it holds above 5.50 going into that week. This is part of the reason why I want to leave this stock alone and focus on easier plays.

LCAV (ill-financial) - potential short when key supp 2.85 cracks.

EJ (ill-financial) - faded more on Wednesday. potential short when key supp at 4.25 cracks.

EDAP (seeking alpha pump) - is holding up but under 4.25 res. Potential short in the ext few days esp if it spikes big.

AAMRQ (over-extended) - vol is fading bad so it could start fading thru supp. potential short when it takes out intraday supp at 2.47.

RSOL (ill-financial) - this stock is worthless and has low short-interest. I covered into the bounce because I lost patience on Tuesday but it dropped to 1.85 on Wednesday. Patience pays. Potential short on any decent spike.

MBLX (over-extended) - this is still spiking on no news. Perked up some on Wednesday as I expected but vol is still dry. In a bull market day this could squeeze shorts thru 2.37 key res. Potential short soon when it starts cracking supp. But I wouldn't short at these levels. 2.16, 2.37 and 2.57 are key.

SQNM (ill-financial) - Key supp at 4 is holding up, so no play until it cracks 4 on the 30min chart if it or bounces big.

Long Watch:

CSIQ (ill-financial, im long 3.98) - this stock is crap and is a short on any big spikes. However, it released news Wed morning as it held above key supp 3.80. I would not be short here as this could spike big on this Sales Agreement news. I bought at 3.98 on strength as it perked to test r/g but it could not go green. I am anticipating some morning action but will sell if it does nothing going into midday. This is a potential short when it fails to b/o.

NEON (momo stock) - this is from TimAlerts watchlsit. It has good technical chart and lots of vol on all time frames. This is set to breakout soon. watching it pattern for a clean b/o thru 5.75

PAMT (momo stock) - this is also from TimAlerts. It has great chart and alot of hype sepculating around its deal w/ big names like MCD as PR is expected. This could breakout in anticipation of news. Waiting for a clean breakout thru 11.5

CCUR (promo stock) - dip buying seems to have begun. this is a potential buy when it b/o 8/8.16 res zone


Swing Watch:
While I believe these stocks will recover nicely, it is tricky to buy in this market. I would wait until the market starts to bottom before entering above supp/res.

JVA (rebound) - I'm a sucka for this stock for 3 reasons: (1) solid financial growth/undervalued; (2) lots of shorts; (3) great chart. No play yet let it pattern w.r.t the market. Im watching 7.32 and 7.5

GEVO (rebound) - is recovering given the eps growth and the vol. No play yet, let it pattern. I'm watching it pattern about key level

02/27/13 Wednesday Watchlist (12 stocks)

Market: $SPY is still bearish but could always bounce. As always play the sentiment (red/green).

WATCHLIST

My strategy is mostly daytrading and short-selling but I will buy good set-ups for day- or swing trade.

Short Watch:

LCAV (ill-financial, I'm short 2.85) - this stock is complete crap w/ a nice technical breakdown set-up. It was a great short near 3.0 res for solid r/r but I shorted at 2.85 in anticipation of it cracking. My position is terrible because 2.85 is key supp. I havent covered b/c its under alot of res and vol is fading. It could crack if market starts tanking, otherwise I will cover and reshort.


*EJ (ill-financial) - this is crap. the bounce is fading under 4.5 res. 4.25 is key supp which could get cracked on the way down. this is a morning panic watch.

EDAP (seeking alpha pump) - Spiked a bit on Tuesday. Potential short in the next few days.

AAMRQ (over-extended) - potential when this bounce tops.

RSOL (ill-financial) - this stock is worthless and has low short-interest. I covered into the bounce because I lost patience. This is a potential reshort. Downside to 1.75

MBLX (over-extended) - this is still spiking on no news. It cracked abit on Monday but is still holding above trendline supp and at ema supp which means if this squeezes w/ the market it could spike big, which I would love to short. But I wouldn't short at these levels. 2.16, 2.37 and 2.57 are key.

SQNM (ill-financial) - faded nicely as I covered my 4.22 short at 4.0 supp for 100bucks. Key supp at 4 is holding up, so no play until it cracks 4 on the 30min chart or bounces big.

HOV (ill-financial) - Spiked big as it could not crack 5.19 and housing sector spiked. All these big spikes are potential shorts when they top b/c they breakdown. Earnings is on 3/6/13 so I wouldn't short it if it holds above 5.50 going into that week. This is part of the reason why I want to leave this stock alone and focus on easier plays. 6.12 is res

*On watch for morning panic

Long Watch:

CCUR (promo stock) - dip buying seems to have begun. this is a potential buy when it b/o 8/8.16 res zone

CSIQ (ill-financial) - this stock is crap and is a short on any big spikes. However, it released news this morning as it holds above key supp 3.80. I would not be short here as this could spike big on this Sales Agreement news. It's a potential buy (only for the news) if it patterns and finds supp at 4.

Swing Watch:
While I believe these stocks will recover nicely, it is tricky to buy in this market. I would wait until the market starts to bottom before entering above supp/res.

JVA (rebound) - I'm a sucka for this stock for 3 reasons: (1) solid financial growth/undervalued; (2) lots of shorts; (3) great chart. No play yet let it pattern w.r.t the market

GEVO (rebound) - is recovering given the eps growth and the vol. No play yet, let it pattern.

02/26/13 Tuesday Watchlist (11 stocks)

Market: $SPY tanked terribly on Monday. Not sure how much it will recover from that but it could still bounce before more consolidation/tankage.

WATCHLIST

My strategy is mostly daytrading and short-selling but I will buy good set-ups for day- or swing trade.

Short Watch:

RSOL (ill-financial, i'm short 2.29) - this stock is worthless and has low short-interest. I shorted the weakness on Friday but w/o surprise it held up on the green market Friday. It's still holding up as it tests ema7 and could spike a little as some impatient shorts cover. I will add to my short if it spikes to towards 2.5 res. Potential downside to 1.75

SQNM (ill-financial, i'm short 4.22) - faded nicely into the close. Potential morning panic or reshort on a bounce.

EDAP (seeking alpha pump) - this technical b/o was caused by a well-timed seeking alpha article and will crash big once the hype/vol fades in the next few days. I want to bank big on this one as it could crash and then fade over multiple days.

LCAV (ill-financial) - this stock is complete crap w/ a nice technical breakdown set-up. It was a great short near 3.0 res for solid r/r but I had too many trades already open to trade it. It could morning panic to crack trendline supp. Potential short into panic or on next bounce.


CSIQ (ill-financial) - this stock is decaying financially and it has vol, which is a sign it will start breaking down like HOV. This also behaved as I called it on my watchlist. It gapped up w/the market which was great b/c it quickly became overextended and cracked. Could morning panic but its a potential short on any decent spikes.

EJ (ill-financial) - this is crap. this was also predictable as it bounce started to fade. Hoping for another bounce to short. Some res about 4.6 but 4.28 is key supp which could get cracked on the way down.

MBLX (over-extended) - this is still spiking on no news. It cracked abit on Monday but is still holding above trendline supp and at ema supp which means if this squeezes w/ the market it could spike, which I would love to short.

HOV (ill-financial) - I shorted this at 5.46 but covered to soon as it dropped 13cents more after I covered at 5.33 and could morining panic along w/ SQNM and the housing sector. Potential short into panic or on the next bounce. This stock is choppy and I will leave it alone after this big crash that could come this week.

Long Watch:

CCUR (promo stock) - this pump is the only thing I'm willing to buy in this market. No play until it pattern for 8.0 b/o. I may buy the bottom if it patterns properly.


Swing Watch:
While I believe these stocks will recover nicely, it is tricky to buy in this market. I would wait until the market starts to bottom before entering above supp/res.

JVA (rebound) - I'm a sucka for this stock for 3 reasons: (1) solid financial growth/undervalued; (2) lots of shorts; (3) great chart.

GEVO (rebound) - is recovering given the QoQ eps growth and the vol.
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