Friday, April 19, 2013

04/19/13 Friday Watchlist (6 stocks)



Market: SPY has been taking a beating due to some earnings and other news but it is still trying to hold up to squeeze but its hard to tell if it will fail and turn to bear season, which I look forward to. It could be topping so I will be bearish until the signs are more clear.

Longs
ACUR - is spiking on drug news. I short this from overextension but couldnt find shares to short before the big crash. It has to bottom and shorts will cover. 2.57/2.67 is key supp zone so I will look for the bottom there. This could squeeze/bounce to retest 3.

Swing Plays
REFR - this is a free TimLongTerm pick. its a low float so it will move w/ Tim's following. should see 5s as early as this week. Waiting for a 4.40 intraday res b/o for entry. upsdie to 5.25 swing. But I may buy the dip at 4.04 key supp if it patterns properly. 4.1 4.3 and 4.5 are key levels. EMA200 (30min candle) is testing for supp at 4.04. if it continues to hold, i may buy going into the weekend.


Shorts
It's Friday so I wouldn't be short anything going into late afternoon (2-2:30p) or over the weekend.

HIMX - i nailed this trade by following the plan as described in my watchlist. Potential short after a failed spikes towards 5.95/6 key res. 5.75 is important supp


SNSS - is an ill-financial stock i've shorted many times as it cracked and faded. 5.03/5.0 is key supp zone. its a short under this zone. 25cents of potential downside if it morning panics.

UVXY - this stock is a fading stock that is full of hype and momo. I will look to scalp this on the short side as it has a good volatility. 8.76 is key res, 8.3

NQ - this is a former earnings winner that is still fading as it consolidates. its faded under EMA50 and 8.09 key supp going into the close yesterday. Potential short only if it morning panics, but be prepared to cover quickly. 25-50cents of downside.


Momo
Follow me on stocktwits (@sickledsystems).

Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
r/g = red to green
g/r = green to red
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support

Thursday, April 18, 2013

04/18/13 Thursday Watchlist (5 stocks)



Market: SPY has been taking a beating due to some earnings and other news but it is still trying to hold up to squeeze into another breakout as it shows signs of a bottom (big vol and positive rsi divergence). It is still bearish but if it continues to squeeze it could go bullish again towards eod or tomorrow. So I would be slightly bullish and looking to buy some dips (like REFR and SVA) to buy and hold.

Longs
ACUR - is spiking on drug news. I short this from overextension but couldnt find shares to short before the big crash. It has to bottom and shorts will cover. 2.57/2.67 is key supp zone so I will look for the bottom there. This could squeeze/bounce to retest 3.

Swing Plays
REFR - this is a free TimLongTerm pick. its a low float so it will move w/ Tim's following. should see 5s as early as this week. Waiting for a 4.40 intraday res b/o for entry. upsdie to 5.25 swing. But I may buy the dip at 4.04 key supp if it patterns properly.

NQ - recent earnings winner that is bottoming at 8/8.1 key supp. I am watching it pattern under 8.77 (intraday res) for a technical breakout entry to swing from. upside to 10.7 swing.

SVA - this is a bird flu sympathy play I called at 3.83 before it spiking to 4.40. I screwed this trade up by trying to daytrade it rather than buying at key supp (either 3.83 or 4.08) and swinging it. Sometimes you just gotta buy ahead of the action and wait patiently as some of these stocks like SVA spike too quickly to try to buy. this is still a buy, i shoulda took some shares into the close but i may try to catch a dip near 4.08


Shorts
HIMX - is testing key res at 6.25. this is a potential short on a g/r move. 30cents of downside potential

Momo
Follow me on stocktwits (@sickledsystems).

Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
r/g = red to green
g/r = green to red
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support


Monday, April 15, 2013

04/15/13 Monday Watchlist (6 hot stocks)


Market: SPY is breaking out! I will not be shorting aggressively. This is the time to buy on big dips and hold.


Longs
RAD (im long 2.18) - I rebought at 2.25 just before a small midday perk-up. its holding up as it consolidates. I am hopping for a morning spike or gap-up/spike to sell into.

BIOL - is still breaking out but consolidating. I would like to see a big dip to 4.9 to rebuy. still has potential upside to 5.7

Swing Plays
REFR - this is a free TimLongTerm pick. its a low float so it will move w/ Tim's following. should see 5s as early as this week. Waiting for a 4.40 intraday res b/o for entry. upsdie to 5.25 swing.

NQ - recent earnings winner that is bottoming at 8.1 key supp. I am watching it pattern under 8.77 (intraday res) for a technical breakout entry to swing from. upside to 10.7 swing.

SVA - this is a bird flu sympathy play. It is patterning nicely and could spike thru 3.85 key res soon. upside to mid 4s. I'd like to see it close the day above 4.08 before buying it. but I may buy a perfect breakout if it patterns under 4.08. upside to 4.5 swing.


Shorts
HIMX - faded under much probable res. potential short on a failed morning spike under 5.95/6 key res zone. I wouldnt hold short for long in this market. if it morning panics, i would cover quickly. downside to 5.4/5.5

Momo
Follow me on stocktwits (@sickledsystems).

Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support

Friday, April 12, 2013

04/12/13 Friday Watchlist (9 hot stocks)

Market: SPY is breaking out! I will not be shorting aggressively. This is the time to buy on big dips and hold.


Longs

AMRS (im long 3.05)- i bought this into the close for a gap-up and i was right as it is already up 7cents in premarket.

RAD (im long 2.18) - big earnings with consistent q2q eps growth. brokeout 2.05 whcih woulda been good entry as i called in my watch list. I bought this premarket following the upgrade w/ a $3 pt

BIOL (im long 5.05)- bought this into the close as well for a gap-up, and so far its gapped up 7cents in premarket. key levels are 4.85 and 5.75

SVA - this is a bird flu sympathy play. It is patterning nicely and could spike thru 3.85 key res soon. upside to mid 4s.

REFR - this is a free TimLongTerm pick. its a low float so it will move w/ Tim's following. should see 5s by next week.

Shorts
It's Friday so I wouldn't be short in the late afternoon.

ROYL - just signed a $44mil deal with an unnamed company but its not official. the chart is very bearish so I will be looking for vol to continue to dry before shorting this. it could morning panic but i'd like to see it spike first. 3 and 3.7 are key.

HIMX - is consolidating. I'd like to see it spike into overextension before shorting it. Pential short when the next spike tops.

PAMT - is fading gradually after the bounce following the crackage thru key supp at 16. it cracked intraday supp at 16.9 and started fading gradually against the bull market. I am now more interested in it breaking down key supp at 16 today as the market is red today.

MCOX - is testing 5.75 just as I anticipated. its building support under 5.75 so it could run further if it can break 5.75. 6.35 and 7.25 are also key. potential short under 5.75 when it cracks big.

Momo
Follow me on stocktwits (@sickledsystems).

Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support

Thursday, April 11, 2013

04/11/13 Thurs Watchlist (6 hot stocks)




Market: SPY is breaking out! I will not be shorting aggressively.

Longs
ROYL - just received a big $45mil order, which is more than its market cap. not the greatest pattern to buy but its breaking out with no key res until 3.75. It's already a abit extended so I'll wait for a dip to buy b/w 3-3.25

AMRS - just announced a breakthrough drug development for malaria. 3.0 and 3.8 are key levels. 3.25 is also important.

RAD - big earnings with consistent q2q eps growth. I am watching for a 2.05 key res breakout.

Shorts

HIMX - is consolidating. I'd like to see it spike into overextension before shorting it. Pential short when the next spike tops.

PAMT - is fading gradually after the bounce following the crackage thru key supp at 16. Potential short under 16.9 which is intradday supp.

MCOX - is testing 5.75 just as I anticipated. its building support under 5.75 so it could run further if it can break 5.75. 6.35 and 7.25 are also key.

Momo
Follow me on stocktwits (@sickledsystems).

Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support

Tuesday, April 9, 2013

04/09/13 Tuesday Watchlist (5 stocks)



Market: SPY is still middrange as it consolidates. Could go either way at these levels. it will make big moves either way.

Longs
CALL - recent big earnings winner w/ very high short interest (49% of shares short, 10 dtc). this just needs momo to breakout 16. 16.25 and 16.7 are key res.

HIMX - I am short-biased on this stock but its gapping premarket into all time highs. this is a potnetial buy above key supp 5.95 if it holds, could run for multiple days. its always a potential short when it tops at natural res like 6.0 6.25 6.5 etc..

Shorts
AMRI (short 9.62)- this is a former earnings winner that is topping. I shorted out of technical speculation for scalping purposes. This stock has a history of crack big even during consolidation. I shorted under key res 9.67 (so my stop is tight) and plan to cover into a morning panic. It could drop $1

MCOX - potential short under 5.0, downside to 3.5

PAMT - is topping just as I anticipated and glad I nailed my 19.67 short although I should reshorted the bounce. This a potential short under 18.25 with downside to 14/15.

Momo
Follow me on stocktwits (@sickledsystems).

Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum
pt = price target
dtc = days to cover
res = resistance
supp = support

Monday, April 8, 2013

04/08/13 Monday Watchlist (9 stocks)


Market: SPY was quite bearish ending last week but seems to be holding up to squeeze again. If this next squeeze if successful it could breakout into new highs. I am still slightly bearish but am prepared to buy breakouts.

Longs

CHCI (long 2.56)- I bought this into the close for a gap-up/morning spike. I don't plan to hold this for long. I will sell into next top, which could be 2.75 or 3.

BCRX - this is gapping up premarket on bird flu fears in China. potential short if it fails to gap and spike thru 2.04 key res. this is could run further than you think, so I'm only scalping. May buy any big squeezes (i.e. thur 2.04 w/ upside to test 2.3)

AMRN - just announced good drug news. this news can run further than you think (see ANAC). potential buy if it can break 7.75 to trigger a technical breakout to test 8.5 key res.

SVA - is on the cusp of a breakout. 4.08 is key res it needs to breakout/gap-up. 4.25 & 4.5 are key check points.

OCLS - just did a reverse stock split as it runs up on patent news.  this is eventually a potential short (i'm acutually more short biased on this stock). Potential buy if it can continue to build momo as it tests 4. upside to test 4.30 then 4.55

Shorts
MCOX - I bought this breakout twice and nailed it. This seems to be spiking due to the company's $10mil buy back plan . Not sure how far it will spike but its def a potential short as weak hands take profits. It's mid breakout as it tests 5 but could spike to test 5.75 key res if it morning spikes.

PAMT - this could top and crack soon. Potentail short when the next spike tops. 19.9/20 is intraday res zone. Plenty of downside when it tops.

Momo
Follow me on stocktwits (@sickledsystems).

Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum

pt = price target

res = resistance
supp = support

Friday, April 5, 2013

04/05/13 Friday Watchlist

Market: SPY is very bearish as it tanks due to lesser than expected job report. This is dangerous as the market is mid-breakout and could fail into a crash if it fails trendline supp in the mid 154s. I will remain bearish in this market and only buying momomentum breakouts.


Shorts

MCOX - I bought this breakout twice and nailed it. This seems to be spiking due to the company's $10mil buy back plan . Not sure how far it will spike but its def a potential short as weak hands take profits. It's mid breakout as it tests 5 but could spike to test 5.75 key res if it morning spikes.

HIMX - is fading. potential short if 5.20 intraday supp cracks on 30min candle.

AAMRQ - Potential short under intraday res zone 3.6/3.7. potential downside to 3

Momo
Follow me on stocktwits (@sickledsystems).

Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum

pt = price target

res = resistance
supp = support

Tuesday, April 2, 2013

04/02/13 Tuesday Watchlist (3 stocks)



Market: SPY is still trying to squeeze shorts as it continues to consolidate. It could go either way but odds favor more bullishness. Still, I will play according to market sentiment (red vs. green). But I am short biased as we approach the end of bull season.

Longs :

GEVO. watching 2.2/2.25 for momo.

Shorts

ANAC -I am short 500 shares at 6.38 after locking in $70 in profits so far. I plan to cover into a morning panic. May add on a failed morning spike.

HIMX - i nailed this short for 30cents yesterday. potential reshort once it breaks and patterns under ema50 on 30min candle chart.

Momo
Follow me on stocktwits (@sickledsystems).

Abbreviations::
b/o = breakout
b/d = breakdown
momo = momentum

pt = price target

res = resistance
supp = support